2019 Dutch Senate election

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2019 Dutch Senate election
Netherlands
← 2015 27 May 2019[1] 2023 →
Party Leader % Seats ±
Forum for Democracy (Netherlands) 15.87 12
VVD 15.11 12
CDA 11.41 9
GroenLinks 11.18 8
D66 8.75 7
PvdA 8.62 6
PVV 6.53 5
SP 5.88 4
Christian Union (Netherlands) 5.03 4
PvdD 3.78 3
50PLUS 3.03 2
SGP 2.60 2
Independent Senate Group 1.31 1
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
File:Netherlands Senate 2019.svg
President of the Senate before President of the Senate after
Ankie Broekers-Knol Ankie Broekers-Knol
VVD		 Jan Anthonie Bruijn
VVD		 100x100px

The 2019 election to the Senate of the Netherlands was held on 27 May 2019, two months after the provincial elections.[1]

Forum for Democracy, which took part for the first time, became the largest party. This was later undone by several party splits.

Electoral system

The Senate consists of 75 members elected every four years by the members of the States-Provincial of the country's twelve provinces, and, following a law change in 2017, electoral colleges representing the special municipalities of Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba,[2][3] who are in turn elected directly by the citizens two months earlier in the 2019 provincial and electoral college elections. The seats are distributed in one nationwide constituency using party-list proportional representation.[4]

The value of each elector's vote is determined by the population of the province or special municipality which the elector represents, at a ratio of approximately 1 vote per 100 residents.

Province Members Population[5] Votes Value per member
South Holland 55 3,674,146 36,740 668
North Holland 55 2,853,488 29,095 519
North Brabant 55 2,544,995 25,465 463
Gelderland 55 2,071,913 20,735 377
Utrecht 49 1,342,194 13,426 274
Overijssel 47 1,156,373 11,562 246
Limburg 47 1,116,127 11,139 237
Friesland 43 647,740 6,493 151
Groningen 43 584,094 5,848 136
Drenthe 41 492,179 4,920 120
Flevoland 41 416,431 4,182 102
Zeeland 39 383,073 3,822 98
Bonaire 9 20,104 198 22
Sint Eustatius 5 3,138 30 6
Saba 5 1,915 20 4

Seat projections

Polling firm Date(s) VVD CDA D66 PVV SP PvdA GL CU PvdD SGP 50+ OSF DENK FVD Rutte III Support
ANP projection 21 Mar 2019 12 9 6 5 4 7 9 4 3 1 2 0 0 13 31 –7
Ipsos exit poll 20 Mar 2019 12 8 7 6 4 7 8 4 3 1 3 1 1 10 31 –7
Peil.nl exit poll 20 Mar 2019 12 8 6 6 5 7 7 3 3 2 2 1 1 12 29 –9
Peil.nl 19 Mar 2019 11 8 6 7 5 6 8 3 2 2 2 2 2 11 28 –10
I&O Research 15–18 Mar 2019 11 8 5 7 6 6 9 4 3 1 2 2 1 10 28 –10
Kantar Public 14–17 Mar 2019 13 7 6 6 7 5 6 4 3 2 3 2 2 9 30 –8
I&O Research 8–12 Mar 2019 12 8 5 7 7 5 9 3 2 2 3 2 1 9 28 –10
Ipsos 8–11 Mar 2019 13 7 5 9 5 6 8 3 4 2 3 2 0 8 28 –10
I&O Research 22–26 Feb 2019 11 7 6 8 7 5 10 4 3 2 3 2 1 8 28 –10
Ipsos 22–25 Feb 2019 12 7 6 8 5 5 9 4 3 2 3 2 1 8 29 –9
2015 election 26 May 2015 13 12 10 9 9 8 4 3 2 2 2 1 – – 38 +1

Results

Electors

File:Statenverkiezingen Nederland 2019.svg
Map showing the largest party by province in the 2019 provincial elections

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Senate

Rutte III lost its majority in the senate.

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Party Unweighted Vote Weighted Vote Seats
Votes Faithless electors  % Votes  % ±pp Total +/−
Forum for Democracy 87 +1 14.80 27,473 15.87 New 12 +12
People's Party for Freedom and Democracy 78 -2 13.27 26,157 15.11 –0.68 12 –1
Christian Democratic Appeal 76 -3 12.93 19,756 11.41 –4.20 9 –3
GroenLinks 65 +4 11.05 19,363 11.18 +5.92 8 +4
Democrats 66 50 +5 8.50 15,154 8.75 –3.00 7 –3
Labour Party 56 ±0 9.52 14,921 8.62 –2.43 6 –2
Party for Freedom 38 -2 6.46 11,298 6.53 –5.05 5 –4
Socialist Party 35 ±0 5.95 10,179 5.88 –6.40 4 –5
Christian Union 33 +1 5.61 8,707 5.03 –0.58 4 +1
Party for the Animals 20 ±0 3.40 6,550 3.78 +0.62 3 +1
50PLUS 18 +1 3.06 5,251 3.03 +0.57 2 ±0
Reformed Political Party 15 +1 2.55 4,493 2.60 –0.38 2 ±0
Independent Senate Group 13 ±0 2.21 2,265 1.31 –1.15 1 ±0
DENK 4 ±0 0.68 1,563 0.90 New 0 ±0
Blank list 0 ±0 0.00 0 0.00 New 0 ±0
Total valid votes 588 173,121 75 ±0
Invalid votes 1 +1 0.00 4 0.00 ±0.00
Votes cast / turnout 589 ±0 100.00 173,125 100.00 ±0.00
Abstentions 0 ±0 0.00 0 0.00 ±0.00
Registered voters 589 173,125
Sources [6][7][8][9][10][11]

Results summary

Popular vote
FvD
  
 14.51%
VVD
  
 13.97%
CDA
  
 11.09%
GL
  
 10.75%
PvdA
  
 8.54%
D66
  
 7.83%
PVV
  
 6.93%
SP
  
 5.90%
CU
  
 4.85%
PvdD
  
 4.35%
50PLUS
  
 3.64%
SGP
  
 2.47%
OSF
  
 2.18%
Denk
  
 1.67%
CU-SGP (NB)
  
 0.27%
Others
  
 1.05%
Unweighted Electoral vote
FvD
  
 14.80%
VVD
  
 13.27%
CDA
  
 12.93%
GL
  
 11.05%
PvdA
  
 9.52%
D66
  
 8.50%
PVV
  
 6.46%
SP
  
 5.95%
CU
  
 5.61%
PvdD
  
 3.40%
50PLUS
  
 3.06%
SGP
  
 2.55%
OSF
  
 2.21%
Denk
  
 0.68%
Weighted Electoral vote
FvD
  
 15.87%
VVD
  
 15.11%
CDA
  
 11.41%
GL
  
 11.18%
D66
  
 8.75%
PvdA
  
 8.62%
PVV
  
 6.53%
SP
  
 5.88%
CU
  
 5.03%
PvdD
  
 3.78%
50PLUS
  
 3.03%
SGP
  
 2.60%
OSF
  
 1.31%
Denk
  
 0.90%

References

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  5. ↑ Population figures: 1 January 2019
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