Great Recession in Oceania
Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. Great Recession in Oceania is an article on the recession affecting the Oceanic region. This includes, Australia, New Zealand and South Pacific countries.
Contents
Australia
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Australia avoided technical recession due to a number of factors: the country's low levels of public debt allowed government stimulus spending; its proximity to the booming Chinese economy and the related mining boom kept growth ticking over throughout the worst of the global conditions. In fact, sources such as the IMF and the Reserve Bank of Australia had predicted Australia was well positioned to weather the crisis with minimal disruption, sustaining more than 2% GDP growth in 2009 (as many Western nations went into recession). In the same year the World Economic Forum ranked Australia's banking system the fourth best in the world, while the Australian dollar's 30% drop was seen as a boon for trade, shielding the country from the crisis and helping to slow growth and consumption. The recession by Australia effected New Zealand's economy as Australia is New Zealand's biggest exporter. .[1][2]
Some analysts had predicted the continuing decline of trade in 2009 could put the economy into recession for the first time in 17 years.[3] However these initial fears were proved largely unfounded as the Australian economy avoided recession and the unemployment rate peaked at a much lower rate than had been predicted.
New Zealand
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New Zealand Institute of Economic Research's quarterly survey showing New Zealand's economy contracted 0.3 percent in the first quarter of 2008 and Treasury figures suggested the economy also contracted in the June quarter putting New Zealand in a technical recession.[4] The Treasury says the economy could recover in the second half of the year under the impact of high dairy prices boosting farmer incomes and cuts to personal tax rates, which come into effect on Oct. 1.[5] There was a substantial number of finance company collapses between 2006 and 2012. Housing starts in New Zealand fell 20 percent in June, the lowest levels since 1986.[6] Excluding apartments, approvals dropped 13 percent from May. Approvals in the year ended June fell 12 percent from a year earlier. Second-quarter approvals dropped 19 percent. The figures suggest a decrease in construction and economic growth. House sales fell 42 percent in June from a year earlier.[7] The New Zealand Treasury concluded that the country's economy had contracted for a second quarter based on economic indicators, putting New Zealand in a recession.[8] New Zealand's central bank cut rates by half a percent arguing the economy was in recession.[9] New Zealand's GDP declined by 0.2 percent in the second quarter putting the country in its first recession in a decade.[10]
The economy emerged from recession in mid-2009, with the second-quarter GDP report showing the economy grew by 0.1 per cent on the March quarter.[11]
Timeline of the Great Recession across all continents
The table below displays all national recessions appearing in 2006-2013 (for the 71 countries with available data), according to the common recession definition, saying that a recession occurred whenever seasonally adjusted real GDP contracts quarter on quarter, through minimum two consecutive quarters. Only 11 out of the 71 listed countries with quarterly GDP data (Poland, Slovakia, Moldova, India, China, South Korea, Indonesia, Australia, Uruguay, Colombia and Bolivia) escaped a recession in this time period.
The few recessions appearing early in 2006-07 are commonly never associated to be part of the Great Recession, which is illustrated by the fact that only two countries (Iceland and Jamaica) were in recession in Q4-2007.
One year before the maximum, in Q1-2008, only six countries were in recession (Iceland, Sweden, Finland, Ireland, Portugal and New Zealand). The number of countries in recession was 25 in Q2‑2008, 39 in Q3‑2008 and 53 in Q4‑2008. At the steepest part of the Great Recession in Q1‑2009, a total of 59 out of 71 countries were simultaneously in recession. The number of countries in recession was 37 in Q2‑2009, 13 in Q3‑2009 and 11 in Q4‑2009. One year after the maximum, in Q1‑2010, only seven countries were in recession (Greece, Croatia, Romania, Iceland, Jamaica, Venezuela and Belize).
The recession data for the overall G20-zone (representing 85% of all GWP), depict that the Great Recession existed as a global recession throughout Q3‑2008 until Q1‑2009.
Subsequent follow-up recessions in 2010‑2013 were confined to Belize, El Salvador, Paraguay, Jamaica, Japan, Taiwan, New Zealand and 24 out of 50 European countries (including Greece). As of October 2014, only five out of the 71 countries with available quarterly data (Cyprus, Italy, Croatia, Belize and El Salvador), were still in ongoing recessions.[12][13] The many follow-up recessions hitting the European countries, are commonly referred to as being direct repercussions of the European sovereign‑debt crisis.
Country[lower-alpha 1] | Recession period(s) during 2006‑2013[12][13] (measured by quarter-on-quarter changes of seasonally adjusted real GDP, as per the latest revised Q3-2013 data from 10 January 2014)[lower-alpha 2] |
---|---|
Albania | [14] Q3-2009 until Q4-2009 (6 months)[14] Q4-2011 until Q1-2012 (6 months)[14] |
Q1-2007 until Q2-2007 (6 months)
Argentina | Q4-2008 until Q2-2009 (9 months) |
Australia | None |
Austria | Q3-2011 until Q4-2011 (6 months) |
Q2-2008 until Q2-2009 (15 months)
Belgium | Q2-2012 until Q1-2013 (12 months) |
Q3-2008 until Q1-2009 (9 months)
Belize | [15] Q1-2007 until Q3-2007 (9 months)[15] Q4-2008 until Q1-2009 (6 months)[15] Q4-2009 until Q1-2010 (6 months)[15] Q1-2011 until Q2-2011 (6 months)[15] Q2-2013 until Ongoing (6 months)[15] |
Q1-2006 until Q2-2006 (6 months)
Bolivia | None[16][lower-alpha 3] |
Brazil | Q4-2008 until Q1-2009 (6 months) |
Bulgaria | Q1-2009 until Q2-2009 (6 months) |
Canada | Q4-2008 until Q2-2009 (9 months) |
Chile | Q2-2008 until Q1-2009 (12 months) |
China | None |
Colombia | None[17][18] |
Costa Rica | [19] | Q2-2008 until Q1-2009 (12 months)
Croatia | Q3-2011 until Q4-2012 (18 months) Q2-2013 until Ongoing (6 months) |
Q3-2008 until Q2-2010 (24 months)
Cyprus | Q3-2011 until Ongoing (27 months) |
Q1-2009 until Q4-2009 (12 months)
Czech Republic | Q4-2011 until Q1-2013 (18 months) |
Q4-2008 until Q2-2009 (9 months)
Denmark | Q3-2011 until Q4-2011 (6 months) Q4-2012 until Q1-2013 (6 months) |
Q3-2008 until Q2-2009 (12 months)
Ecuador | [20] Q1-2009 until Q3-2009 (9 months)[21][22] |
Q4-2006 until Q1-2007 (6 months)
El Salvador | [23][lower-alpha 4] Q2-2013 until Ongoing (6 months)[23][lower-alpha 4] |
Q3-2008 until Q2-2009 (12 months)
Estonia | Q1-2013 until Q2-2013 (6 months) |
Q3-2008 until Q3-2009 (15 months)
EU (28 member states) | Q4-2011 until Q2-2012 (9 months) Q4-2012 until Q1-2013 (6 months) |
Q2-2008 until Q2-2009 (15 months)
Eurozone (17 member states) | Q4-2011 until Q1-2013 (18 months) |
Q2-2008 until Q2-2009 (15 months)
Finland | Q2-2012 until Q1-2013 (12 months) |
Q1-2008 until Q2-2009 (18 months)
France | Q4-2012 until Q1-2013 (6 months) |
Q2-2008 until Q2-2009 (15 months)
G20 (43 member states, PPP-weighted GDP)[lower-alpha 5] | Q3-2008 until Q1-2009 (9 months) |
Germany | Q2-2008 until Q1-2009 (12 months) |
Greece | Q3-2008 until Q2-2014 (63 months) |
Hong Kong | [26] | Q2-2008 until Q1-2009 (12 months)
Hungary | Q2-2008 until Q3-2009 (18 months) Q2-2011 until Q3-2011 (6 months) Q1-2012 until Q4-2012 (12 months) |
Q1-2007 until Q2-2007 (6 months)
Iceland | Q4-2008 until Q1-2009 (6 months) Q3-2009 until Q2-2010 (12 months) |
Q4-2007 until Q2-2008 (9 months)
India | None |
Indonesia | None |
Ireland | Q1-2008 until Q4-2009 (24 months) |
Q2-2007 until Q3-2007 (6 months)
Israel | Q4-2008 until Q1-2009 (6 months) |
Italy | Q3-2011 until Q3 2014 (27 months) |
Q2-2008 until Q2-2009 (15 months)
Jamaica | [27] Q3-2008 until Q1-2009 (9 months)[27] Q4-2009 until Q2-2010 (9 months)[27] Q4-2011 until Q1-2012 (6 months)[27] Q4-2012 until Q1-2013 (6 months)[27] |
Q3-2007 until Q4-2007 (6 months)
Japan | Q4-2010 until Q2-2011 (9 months) Q2-2012 until Q3-2012 (6 months) |
Q2-2008 until Q1-2009 (12 months)
Kazakhstan | [28][lower-alpha 6] | Q3-2008 until Q1-2009 (9 months)
Latvia | Q2-2008 until Q3-2009 (18 months) |
Lithuania | Q3-2008 until Q2-2009 (12 months) |
Luxembourg | Q2-2008 until Q1-2009 (12 months) |
Macedonia | [29] Q1-2012 until Q2-2012 (6 months)[29] (not qoq-data, but quarters compared with same quarter of last year)[lower-alpha 2] |
Q1-2009 until Q3-2009 (9 months)
Malaysia | [30][31] | Q3-2008 until Q1-2009 (9 months)
Malta | Q4-2008 until Q1-2009 (6 months) |
Mexico | Q3-2008 until Q2-2009 (12 months) |
Moldova | None[32][lower-alpha 7] |
Netherlands | Q2-2011 until Q1-2012 (12 months) Q3-2012 until Q2-2013 (12 months) |
Q2-2008 until Q2-2009 (15 months)
New Zealand | Q3-2010 until Q4-2010 (6 months) |
Q1-2008 until Q2-2009 (18 months)
Norway | Q2-2010 until Q3-2010 (6 months) Q1-2011 until Q2-2011 (6 months) |
Q1-2009 until Q2-2009 (6 months)
OECD (34 member states, PPP-weighted GDP) | Q2-2008 until Q1-2009 (12 months) |
Paraguay | [33] Q2-2011 until Q3-2011 (6 months)[33] |
Q3-2008 until Q1-2009 (9 months)
Peru | [34] | Q4-2008 until Q2-2009 (9 months)
Philippines | [35][36] | Q4-2008 until Q1-2009 (6 months)
Poland | None |
Portugal | Q1-2008 until Q1-2009 (15 months) Q4-2010 until Q1-2013 (30 months) |
Q2-2007 until Q3-2007 (6 months)
Romania | Q4-2009 until Q1-2010 (6 months) Q4-2011 until Q1-2012 (6 months) |
Q4-2008 until Q2-2009 (9 months)
Russia | Q3-2008 until Q2-2009 (12 months) |
Serbia | [37] Q2-2011 until Q1-2012 (12 months)[37] Q3-2012 until Q4-2012 (6 months)[37] |
Q2-2008 until Q2-2009 (15 months)
Singapore | [38][39][40][41][42] | Q2-2008 until Q1-2009 (12 months)
Slovakia | None |
Slovenia | Q3-2011 until Q4-2013 (24 months)[43][44] |
Q3-2008 until Q2-2009 (12 months)
South Africa | Q4-2008 until Q2-2009 (9 months) |
South Korea | None |
Spain | Q2-2011 until Q2-2013 (27 months) |
Q2-2008 until Q4-2009 (21 months)
Sweden | Q1-2008 until Q1-2009 (15 months) |
Switzerland | Q4-2008 until Q2-2009 (9 months) |
Taiwan | [45] Q3-2011 until Q4-2011 (6 months)[45] |
Q2-2008 until Q1-2009 (12 months)
Thailand | [46] | Q4-2008 until Q1-2009 (6 months)
Turkey | Q2-2008 until Q1-2009 (12 months) |
Ukraine | [47] Q3-2012 until Q4-2012 (6 months)[47][48][49] |
Q2-2008 until Q1-2009 (12 months)
United Kingdom | [50] Q4-2011 until Q2-2012 (9 months)[50] |
Q2-2008 until Q3-2009 (18 months)
United States | Q3-2008 until Q2-2009 (12 months) |
Uruguay | None[51] |
Venezuela | [52] | Q1-2009 until Q1-2010 (15 months)
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References
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External links
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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- ↑ Australia seen sliding into recession in 2009, International Herald Tribune, January 19, 2009
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- ↑ 37.0 37.1 37.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ SingStat Time Series (access to database require payment subscription)
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- ↑ http://www.24ur.com/novice/gospodarstvo/recesije-je-konec-bruselj-nam-napoveduje-rast.html
- ↑ http://www.sloveniatimes.com/light-at-the-end-of-the-tunnel-slovenia-technically-out-of-recession
- ↑ 45.0 45.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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