Opinion polling for the 2021 Canadian federal election

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This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted from the 2019 Canadian federal election leading up to the 2021 Canadian federal election, scheduled to take place on September 20, 2021.[1] For riding-specific polls see the list of 2021 constituency polls.

National polls

Campaign period

File:Opinion polling during the campaign period of the 2021 Canadian federal election.svg
Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the campaign period of the 2021 Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are 25-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
Polling firm Last date
of polling[lower-alpha 1]
Link CPC LPC NDP BQ GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[lower-alpha 2]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Polling method[lower-alpha 4] Lead
Nanos Research September 19, 2021 PDF 31.2 32.4 17.5 7.5 4.5 6.6 0.3 ±3.6 pp 832 telephone 1.2
Forum Research September 19, 2021 PDF 33.0 29.4 16.2 6.9 2.9 10.3 1.3 ±3 pp 1,181 IVR 3.6
Research Co. September 19, 2021 HTML 32 32 19 7 4 6 1 ±3.1 pp 1,800 online 0
Mainstreet Research September 19, 2021 HTML 30.4 33.4 18.1 6.0 2.1 9.3 0.7 ±2.1 pp 2,211 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 3.0
Abacus Data September 19, 2021 HTML 32 31 19 7 4 6 2 ±2.0 pp 2,431 online 1
EKOS September 19, 2021 HTML 27.3 32.6 18.0 7.3 3.9 9.9 1 ±2.4 pp 1,662 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 5.3
Counsel September 18, 2021 HTML 30 31 19 7 4 7 2 ±1.7 pp 3,298 online 1
EKOS September 18, 2021 HTML 26.9 32.1 18.5 7.2 4.4 10.0 0.9 ±2.7 pp 1,327 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5.2
Nanos Research September 18, 2021 PDF 30.5 30.8 21.0 6.5 4.7 5.6 1.0 ±2.5 pp 1,679 (1/2) telephone (rolling) 0.3
Mainstreet Research September 18, 2021 HTML 30.5 31.9 19.0 6.4 2.5 8.9 0.8 ±1.9 pp 2,494 (1/2) IVR (rolling) 1.4
Abacus Data September 18, 2021 HTML 31 32 21 6 3 6 1 ±2.8 pp 1,271 (1/3) online (rolling) 1
Ipsos September 18, 2021 HTML 32 31 21 7 3 4 1 ±2.3 pp 2,359 online/telephone 1
Angus Reid September 18, 2021 PDF 32 30 20 7 3 5 1 ±2.2 pp 2,042 online 2
EKOS September 17, 2021 HTML 27.7 30.6 20.0 7.3 4.5 9.1 1 ±2.6 pp 1,422 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.9
Nanos Research September 17, 2021 PDF 29.2 31.3 20.9 6.4 3.9 7.3 1.0 ±2.8 pp 1,241 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.1
Mainstreet Research September 17, 2021 HTML 30.8 31.0 19.9 6.6 2.5 8.4 0.9 ±2.2 pp 1,871 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.2
Abacus Data September 17, 2021 HTML 32 33 21 6 2 5 1 ±2.7 pp 1,333 (1/3) online (rolling) 1
Leger September 17, 2021 PDF 33 32 19 7 2 6 1 ±2.5 pp 2,147 online 1
EKOS September 16, 2021 HTML 30.6 30.4 18.5 7.0 4.1 8.5 0.9 ±2.6 pp 1,384 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.2
Nanos Research September 16, 2021 PDF 30.4 31.9 20.3 5.8 3.2 7.5 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,228 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.5
Mainstreet Research September 16, 2021 HTML 31.9 29.5 19.5 6.4 3.0 8.8 0.9 ±2.3 pp 1,749 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.4
Abacus Data September 16, 2021 HTML 30 34 21 6 3 5 1 ±2.9 pp 1,604 (1/3) online (rolling) 4
Campaign Research September 16, 2021 HTML 31 31 21 7 4 5 1 ±1 pp 5,163 online 0
EKOS September 15, 2021 HTML 30.4 32.1 18.4 6.3 3.8 8.2 0.7 ±2.6 pp 1,446 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.7
Nanos Research September 15, 2021 PDF 30.3 31.9 21.2 6.4 3.2 6.7 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,237 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.6
Mainstreet Research September 15, 2021 HTML 32.0 30.2 18.9 6.4 2.9 8.7 0.8 ±2.3 pp 1,753 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.8
Abacus Data September 15, 2021 HTML 31 33 22 5 3 5 2 ±2.9 pp 1,578 online (rolling) 2
EKOS September 14, 2021 HTML 31.8 31.8 19.1 6.4 3.3 6.9 0.7 ±2.7 pp 1,322 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.0
Nanos Research September 14, 2021 PDF 31.2 30.5 21.4 6.2 3.7 6.8 0.3 ±2.8 pp 1,281 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.7
Mainstreet Research September 14, 2021 HTML 31.4 31.4 17.5 7.0 3.3 8.7 0.6 ±2.3 pp 1,774 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.0
EKOS September 13, 2021 HTML 32.2 31.2 19.4 6.2 3.1 7.3 0.6 ±2.8 pp 1,241 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.0
Research Co. September 13, 2021 PDF 30 34 20 7 3 5 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 4
Nanos Research September 13, 2021 PDF 31.2 32.3 18.9 6.4 3.8 6.7 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,264 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.1
Mainstreet Research September 13, 2021 HTML 29.5 33.5 16.4 7.5 3.3 9.1 0.7 ±2.3 pp 1,732 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4.0
Ipsos September 13, 2021 HTML 32 32 21 7 4 3 1 ±2.5 pp 2,001 online/telephone 0
Leger September 13, 2021 PDF 32 32 20 7 3 5 1 ±2.19 pp 2,001 online 0
YouGov September 13, 2021 HTML 32 29 19 6 5 5 4 ±3.4 pp 925 online 3
Earnscliffe/Leger September 12, 2021 HTML 32 32 20 7 4 5 1 N/A 1,549 online 0
Innovative Research September 12, 2021 PDF 28 33 22 7 4 4 1 N/A 3,203 online 5
EKOS September 12, 2021 HTML 31.9 30.3 20.3 6.0 3.7 7.0 0.8 ±2.9 pp 1,115 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.6
Nanos Research September 12, 2021 PDF 30.2 33.2 18.6 6.8 3.8 6.6 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,268 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 3.0
Mainstreet Research September 12, 2021 HTML 28.6 33.5 17.1 7.9 3.7 8.4 0.9 ±2.3 pp 1,711 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4.9
Abacus Data September 12, 2021 HTML 32 32 21 6 3 4 2 ±2.1 pp 2,000 online 0
Angus Reid September 12, 2021 PDF 32 30 21 7 2 6 2 ±2.5 pp 1,840 online 2
Counsel September 11, 2021 HTML 30.2 29.7 21.9 6.5 4.4 5.6 1.7 ±1.7 pp 3,320 online 0.5
EKOS September 11, 2021 HTML 32.8 31.1 19.0 4.7 3.9 7.8 0.7 ±2.9 pp 1,162 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.7
Nanos Research September 11, 2021 PDF 30.7 34.0 18.6 6.6 4.1 5.1 0.9 ±2.8 pp 1,252 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 3.3
Mainstreet Research September 11, 2021 HTML 29.4 33.4 17.6 7.4 3.1 8.1 1.0 ±2.3 pp 1,706 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4.0
Forum Research September 10, 2021 PDF 31 28 18 8 4 9 2 ±3 pp 1,579 IVR 3
EKOS September 10, 2021 HTML 30.9 30.4 19.9 4.6 4.3 9.1 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,238 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.5
Nanos Research September 10, 2021 PDF 30.1 34.4 19.0 6.4 4.6 5.0 0.7 ±2.8 pp 1,249 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 4.3
Mainstreet Research September 10, 2021 HTML 30.2 33.9 17.9 6.4 2.6 7.9 1.0 ±2.3 pp 1,751 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3.7
September 9, 2021 Leaders' Debates Commission English debate
EKOS September 9, 2021 HTML 33.2 29.7 16.7 4.3 3.8 11.7 0.6 ±2.7 pp 1,303 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3.5
Nanos Research September 9, 2021 PDF 33.3 31.3 19.2 6.6 3.8 5.0 0.9 ±2.8 pp 1,269 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.0
Mainstreet Research September 9, 2021 HTML 32.0 32.9 18.5 5.3 2.2 8.4 0.8 ±2.3 pp 1,776 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.9
September 8, 2021 Leaders' Debates Commission French debate
EKOS September 8, 2021 HTML 33.6 30.7 15.7 4.1 4.1 11.2 0.7 ±2.7 pp 1,365 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.9
Nanos Research September 8, 2021 PDF 32.6 30.6 20.3 5.5 4.2 5.3 1.4 ±2.8 pp 1,266 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.0
Mainstreet Research September 8, 2021 HTML 32.9 32.3 19.0 5.5 1.9 7.9 0.5 ±2.3 pp 1,768 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.6
EKOS September 7, 2021 HTML 34.3 31.8 16.4 4.0 3.2 9.5 0.7 ±2.8 pp 1,202 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.5
Mainstreet Research September 7, 2021 HTML 33.5 30.0 20.7 5.5 2.2 7.6 0.4 ±2.3 pp 1,755 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3.5
Nanos Research September 7, 2021 PDF 32.6 31.6 21.1 5.0 4.4 4.3 0.9 ±2.8 pp 1,288 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.0
EKOS September 6, 2021 HTML 33.7 30.8 19.2 3.8 3.8 7.9 0.8 ±3.0 pp 1,062 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.9
Mainstreet Research September 6, 2021 HTML 33.5 31.1 19.6 6.4 2.4 6.4 0.6 ±2.3 pp 1,794 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.4
Leger September 6, 2021 PDF 33 33 21 6 3 3 <1 ±1.8 pp 3,002 online 0
Ipsos September 6, 2021 HTML 35 32 21 7 2 2 N/A ±2.9 pp 1,500 online 3
Angus Reid September 6, 2021 PDF 35 32 20 6 2 5 1 ±2.5 pp 1,709 online 3
Abacus Data September 6, 2021 HTML 32 32 21 7 3 3 1 ±1.9 pp 2,875 online 0
Earnscliffe/Leger September 5, 2021 HTML 33 33 21 6 3 4 1 N/A 1,521 online 0
EKOS September 5, 2021 HTML 34.1 27.9 20.3 5.6 3.6 7.9 0.7 ±3.0 pp 1,053 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6.2
Nanos Research September 5, 2021 PDF 32.0 34.1 20.9 4.0 4.5 3.8 0.6 ±2.8 pp 1,269 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.1
Mainstreet Research September 5, 2021 HTML 34.0 31.1 18.4 6.2 2.6 6.7 0.9 ±2.3 pp 1,857 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.9
EKOS September 4, 2021 HTML 34.5 28.1 20.5 4.8 4.4 6.9 0.8 ±2.9 pp 1,158 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6.4
Nanos Research September 4, 2021 PDF 34.9 33.4 18.9 4.8 4.2 3.5 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,248 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.5
Mainstreet Research September 4, 2021 HTML 34.6 31.8 17.5 6.3 2.3 6.3 1.3 ±2.3 pp 1,842 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.8
Abacus Data September 4, 2021 HTML 33 32 21 7 3 3 1 ±1.9 pp 2,692 online 1
EKOS September 3, 2021 HTML 35.0 28.8 19.6 4.9 4.6 6.3 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,274 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6.2
Nanos Research September 3, 2021 PDF 35.5 33.0 18.7 4.1 4.4 3.9 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,214 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.5
Mainstreet Research September 3, 2021 HTML 34.3 32.1 18.2 5.6 2.2 6.5 1.2 ±2.3 pp 1,820 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.2
September 2, 2021 TVA French leaders' debate
EKOS September 2, 2021 HTML 35.8 29.5 19.4 3.9 4.5 5.8 0.9 ±2.9 pp 1,161 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6.3
Nanos Research September 2, 2021 PDF 35.7 30.7 18.3 5.5 4.5 4.8 0.5 ±2.8 pp 1,233 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 5.0
Mainstreet Research September 2, 2021 HTML 35.9 30.7 18.8 5.1 2.4 5.9 1.3 ±2.3 pp 1,792 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5.2
EKOS September 1, 2021 HTML 35.5 30.7 18.8 4.7 3.7 5.8 0.8 ±2.9 pp 1,152 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4.8
Nanos Research September 1, 2021 PDF 34.2 30.5 20.1 6.0 4.0 4.8 0.3 ±2.8 pp 1,270 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 3.7
Mainstreet Research September 1, 2021 HTML 36.0 30.9 18.7 4.8 2.6 5.8 1.3 ±2.3 pp 1,757 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5.1
Campaign Research September 1, 2021 HTML 33 30 22 6 4 4 1 ±2 pp 3,011 online 3
EKOS August 31, 2021 HTML 36.0 30.7 18.9 5.3 3.2 5.2 0.7 ±2.9 pp 1,122 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5.3
Nanos Research August 31, 2021 PDF 33.7 31.0 20.3 6.8 3.5 4.1 0.6 ±2.8 pp 1,275 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.7
Mainstreet Research August 31, 2021 HTML 37.1 29.2 19.1 4.7 2.8 5.7 1.3 ±2.3 pp 1,703 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 7.9
EKOS August 30, 2021 HTML 35.9 31.3 18.0 5.8 3.2 5.0 0.7 ±3.2 pp 942 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4.6
Research Co. August 30, 2021 PDF 32 33 22 6 4 3 <1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 1
Nanos Research August 30, 2021 PDF 32.5 33.2 19.2 6.4 4.6 3.3 0.7 ±2.8 pp 1,308 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.7
Mainstreet Research August 30, 2021 HTML 36.9 29.2 18.8 5.7 2.7 5.7 1.0 ±2.3 pp 1,763 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 7.7
Ipsos August 30, 2021 HTML 32 31 23 7 4 1 2 ±2.9 pp 1,501 online 1
Leger August 30, 2021 PDF 34 30 24 7 2 3 1 ±2.18 pp 2,005 online 4
Innovative Research August 30, 2021 PDF 29 32 23 8 4 4 1 N/A 2,806 online 3
Earnscliffe/Leger August 29, 2021 HTML 34 30 24 7 3 2 1 N/A 1,544 online 4
Angus Reid August 29, 2021 PDF 33 30 21 7 3 4 2 ±2.5 pp 1,639 online 3
Nanos Research August 29, 2021 PDF 32.7 31.3 20.0 5.8 5.9 3.6 0.6 ±2.8 pp 1,267 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.4
Mainstreet Research August 29, 2021 HTML 37.6 28.5 19.3 6.3 2.5 5.1 0.6 ±2.3 pp 1,767 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.1
EKOS August 29, 2021 HTML 36.8 29.4 19.3 5.6 3.2 5.0 0.7 ±2.8 pp 1,232 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 7.4
Abacus Data August 29, 2021 HTML 32 33 22 8 2 3 1 ±2.2 pp 2,000 online 1
Nanos Research August 28, 2021 PDF 33.2 31.1 19.9 5.5 5.7 4.2 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,248 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.1
Mainstreet Research August 28, 2021 HTML 37.8 28.3 19.4 6.9 2.2 4.9 0.5 ±2.3 pp 1,759 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.5
EKOS August 28, 2021 HTML 36.7 29.1 17.7 5.5 3.7 6.5 0.7 ±2.9 pp 1,166 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 7.6
Nanos Research August 27, 2021 PDF 33.3 30.8 21.7 5.3 4.9 3.8 0.3 ±2.8 pp 1,243 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.5
Mainstreet Research August 27, 2021 HTML 37.4 29.3 19.6 6.2 2.4 4.5 0.6 ±2.38 pp 1,684 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8.1
EKOS August 27, 2021 HTML 34.8 28.5 19.8 5.5 3.8 6.8 0.8 ±2.6 pp 1,426 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 6.3
Nanos Research August 26, 2021 PDF 33.6 33.4 19.9 5.3 4.6 3.1 0.2 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.2
Mainstreet Research August 26, 2021 HTML 36.8 31.4 18.5 5.4 2.6 4.3 1.0 ±2.43 pp 1,619 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5.4
EKOS August 26, 2021 HTML 34.5 29.0 20.3 5.1 4.2 6.3 0.6 ±2.6 pp 1,424 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 5.5
Nanos Research August 25, 2021 PDF 34.4 33.6 18.9 5.3 4.3 3.1 0.3 ±2.8 pp 1,288 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.8
Mainstreet Research August 25, 2021 HTML 34.7 31.8 19.1 5.4 3.1 4.6 1.3 ±2.6 pp 1,549 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.9
EKOS August 25, 2021 HTML 32.8 29.4 20.7 6.0 3.8 6.7 0.7 ±2.7 pp 1,352 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 3.4
Nanos Research August 24, 2021 PDF 32.7 35.9 16.8 5.6 4.8 3.7 0.5 ±2.8 pp 1,261 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 3.2
Mainstreet Research August 24, 2021 HTML 33.7 31.2 19.0 6.0 3.1 5.8 1.2 ±2.6 pp 1,417 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.5
EKOS August 24, 2021 HTML 32.2 31.4 20.5 5.7 3.5 5.7 0.9 ±2.8 pp 1,233 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 0.8
Nanos Research August 23, 2021 PDF 33.2 33.5 18.9 5.4 4.7 3.6 0.7 ±2.8 pp 1,205 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.3
Mainstreet Research August 23, 2021 HTML 32.3 30.0 19.0 7.0 3.3 7.4 0.9 ±2.6 pp 1,369 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.3
EKOS August 23, 2021 HTML 32.8 32.0 19.6 6.2 3.5 5.0 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,192 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 0.8
Ipsos August 23, 2021 HTML 32 33 21 6 5 2 1 ±3.5 pp 1,500 online 1
Angus Reid August 23, 2021 PDF 31 33 22 7 3 3 1 ±2.5 pp 1,692 online 2
Earnscliffe/Leger August 22, 2021 HTML 30 33 21 7 4 3 1 N/A 1,527 online 3
Leger August 22, 2021 PDF 31 33 21 7 4 3 1 ±2.2 pp 2,002 online 2
Nanos Research August 22, 2021 PDF 31.4 32.5 20.8 6.1 5.1 3.3 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.1
Mainstreet Research August 22, 2021 HTML 31.7 32.4 18.2 5.9 3.3 6.6 1.0 ±2.6 pp 1,467 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.7
EKOS August 22, 2021 HTML 31.7 32.9 17.0 6.9 4.3 6.3 0.9 ±2.8 pp 1,207 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 1.2
Abacus Data August 22, 2021 HTML 29 33 23 6 3 4 2 ±2.2 pp 2,000 online 4
Nanos Research August 21, 2021 PDF 32.4 34.3 19.3 6.3 4.5 2.4 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,209 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.9
Mainstreet Research August 21, 2021 HTML 30.9 34.0 19.7 5.9 3.4 5.1 1.0 ±2.6 pp 1,425 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3.1
EKOS August 21, 2021 HTML 32.8 32.4 16.6 6.1 5.2 6.1 0.8 ±2.7 pp 1,293 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 0.4
Nanos Research August 20, 2021 PDF 32.3 34.2 20.2 6.1 4.3 2.1 0.9 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone (rolling) 1.9
EKOS August 20, 2021 HTML 32.9 31.4 18.3 6.2 4.9 5.7 0.6 ±2.6 pp 1,444 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 1.5
Mainstreet Research August 20, 2021 HTML 32.6 33.9 19.3 4.9 3.7 4.4 1.3 ±2.6 pp 1,449 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 1.3
EKOS August 19, 2021 HTML 31.9 32.5 19.2 5.7 4.9 5.2 0.7 ±2.6 pp 1,426 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 0.6
Mainstreet Research August 19, 2021 HTML 33.1 33.4 19.8 5.0 3.6 4.0 1.1 ±2.6 pp 1,433 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 0.3
Counsel August 18, 2021 HTML 28.5 30.3 21.7 7.8 4.8 4.3 2.6 ±1.7 pp 3,499 online 1.8
EKOS August 18, 2021 HTML 32.0 33.3 20.1 5.5 4.5 3.9 0.7 ±2.7 pp 1,281 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 1.3
Mainstreet Research August 18, 2021 Twitter 33.0 33.6 18.4 5.5 4.0 4.5 1.1 ±2.59 pp 1,571 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 0.6
EKOS August 17, 2021 HTML 30.6 34.3 21.0 5.4 4.2 3.7 0.8 ±3.2 pp 913 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3.7
Mainstreet Research August 17, 2021 Twitter 31.7 33.8 18.9 6.1 3.9 4.5 1.1 ±2.7 pp 1,385 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.1
Angus Reid August 17, 2021 PDF 30 36 20 6 4 4 1 ±2.5 pp 1,614 online 6
EKOS August 16, 2021 HTML 29.4 33.7 20.5 5.4 5.7 4.2 1.1 ±3.4 pp 840 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4.3
Mainstreet Research August 16, 2021 Twitter 30 33 20 6 4 5 N/A ±2.7 pp 1,372 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3
Ipsos August 16, 2021 HTML 31 36 20 6 5 1 1 ±2.5 pp 2,001 online/telephone 5
Innovative Research August 16, 2021 PDF 26 38 21 6 4 3 1 N/A 1,412 online 12
Abacus Data August 16, 2021 HTML 28 33 22 7 5 3 1 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 5
Forum Research August 15, 2021 PDF 31 28 19 7 8 5 3 ±3 pp 1,203 IVR 3
Earnscliffe/Leger August 15, 2021 HTML 29 35 20 7 6 2 2 N/A 1,515 online 6
EKOS August 15, 2021 HTML 30.3 34.8 17.4 4.2 6.9 5.1 1.2 ±3.4 pp 856 IVR (rolling) 4.5
Leger August 15, 2021 PDF 30 35 20 7 5 2 1 ±2.18 pp 2,007 online 5
Mainstreet Research August 15, 2021 HTML 30.1 33.1 19.1 5.9 3.9 5.6 2.2 ±2.7 pp 1,331 IVR (rolling) 3.0
Polling firm Last date
of polling[lower-alpha 1]
Link Others Margin
of error[lower-alpha 2]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Polling method[lower-alpha 4] Lead
CPC LPC NDP BQ GPC PPC

Pre-campaign period

File:Opinion polling during the pre-campaign period of the 44th Canadian federal election.svg
Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the pre-campaign period of the 2021 Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are 25-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
Polling firm Last date
of polling[lower-alpha 1]
Link CPC LPC NDP BQ GPC PPC Others[lower-alpha 5] Margin
of error[lower-alpha 2]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Polling method[lower-alpha 4] Lead
Nanos Research August 13, 2021 HTML 28.4 33.4 20.7 6.3 7.9 1.9 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.0
Leger August 12, 2021 PDF 30 35 19 7 5 3 1 ±2.4 pp 1,615 online 5
Mainstreet Research August 11, 2021 HTML 29.2 34.6 17.9 5.7 5.3 N/A 7.3 ±3.3 pp 909 IVR 5.4
Innovative Research August 11, 2021 PDF 25 40 17 7 6 N/A 5 N/A 1,282 online 15
Abacus Data August 11, 2021 HTML 28 37 20 5 5 4 2 ±1.8 pp 3,000 online 9
Angus Reid August 10, 2021 PDF 31 36 19 7 3 N/A 5 ±2 pp 1,615 online 5
EKOS August 10, 2021 HTML 27.7 36.3 18.6 5.3 6.8 4.6 0.7 ±2.6 pp 1,482 IVR 8.6
Nanos Research August 6, 2021 HTML 27.3 37.0 19.0 5.8 7.0 2.2 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.7
Innovative Research August 4, 2021 PDF 25 39 19 7 6 3 1 N/A 1,953 online 14
Angus Reid August 3, 2021 PDF 30 35 19 7 3 N/A 6 ±2.5 pp 1,605 online 5
Abacus Data August 2, 2021 HTML 25 37 20 8 6 N/A N/A ±2.2 pp 2,000 online 12
Leger August 1, 2021 PDF 29 36 20 7 4 3 2 ±2.15 pp 2,079 online 7
Nanos Research July 30, 2021 HTML 25.5 38.8 19.5 5.9 6.4 2.6 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 13.3
EKOS July 28, 2021 HTML 28.6 39.0 17.9 N/A 4.2 N/A N/A ±3 pp 1,067 IVR 10.4
Angus Reid July 27, 2021 PDF 30 33 21 7 4 N/A 5 ±2 pp 1,606 online 3
Mainstreet Research July 26, 2021 HTML 31.7 34.4 16.2 5.1 4.7 N/A 7.9 ±2.7 pp 1,299 IVR 2.7
Nanos Research July 23, 2021 HTML 25.0 37.3 21.4 6.0 5.5 3.5 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12.3
Innovative Research July 21, 2021 PDF 27 41 17 6 5 3 1 N/A 834 online 14
EKOS July 21, 2021 HTML 27.7 35.2 18.5 5.6 5.2 4.5 3.2 ±2.2 pp 1,934 IVR 7.5
Ipsos July 20, 2021 HTML 30 36 20 7 3 2 2 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 6
Leger July 18, 2021 PDF 29 34 22 7 4 3 1 ±2.15 pp 2,069 online 5
Angus Reid July 16, 2021 HTML 31 33 20 7 3 4 2 ±2.0 pp 1,625 online 2
Nanos Research July 16, 2021 HTML 23.6 39.3 21.7 4.8 6.8 3.0 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 15.7
Nanos Research July 9, 2021 HTML 23.9 37.8 21.3 N/A 6.5 N/A N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 13.9
Leger July 4, 2021 PDF 30 33 19 7 5 4 2 ±2.52 pp 1,518 online 3
Nanos Research July 2, 2021 HTML 23.6 38.1 20.4 5.1 7.5 4.3 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 14.5
Abacus Data June 30, 2021 HTML 25 37 20 7 6 3 1 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 12
Nanos Research June 25, 2021 HTML 24.7 37.1 19.3 5.8 7.9 4.1 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12.4
Ipsos June 22, 2021 HTML 26 38 20 8 7 1 1 ±2.9 pp 1,501 online/telephone 12
Abacus Data June 21, 2021 HTML 27 37 18 9 5 3 1 ±2.2 pp 2,070 online 10
Leger June 20, 2021 PDF 30 34 20 8 5 N/A 4 ±2.49 pp 1,542 online 4
Nanos Research June 18, 2021 HTML 25.4 37.4 18.2 7.0 6.5 4.2 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12.0
Abacus Data June 16, 2021 HTML 29 34 21 8 6 1 1 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 5
Research Co. June 14, 2021 HTML 30 38 20 5 5 1 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 8
Mainstreet Research June 14, 2021 HTML 27.3 37.7 17.2 5.0 5.9 N/A 6.9 ±2.7 pp 1,291 IVR 10.4
EKOS June 14, 2021 HTML 26.2 35.0 17.3 6.6 8.3 3.9 2.7 ±2.6 pp 1,412 IVR 8.8
Nanos Research June 11, 2021 HTML 26.4 37.5 17.5 7.4 7.0 3.6 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.1
Innovative Research June 8, 2021 PDF 26 37 17 7 8 N/A 5 N/A 1,043 online 11
Angus Reid June 7, 2021 PDF 30 33 21 6 4 N/A 5 ±2.0 pp 4,948 online 3
Leger June 6, 2021 PDF 29 32 22 6 6 N/A 5 ±2.5 pp 1,539 online 3
Counsel June 4, 2021 HTML 27.6 31.9 17.9 7.7 6.9 4.2 3.7 ±1.7 pp 3,175 online 4.3
Nanos Research June 4, 2021 HTML 27.3 38.0 17.1 6.6 6.1 3.9 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 10.7
Innovative Research May 31, 2021 PDF 27 38 15 8 8 4 1 N/A 2,579 online 11
Abacus Data May 28, 2021 HTML 31 34 17 7 7 2 2 ±2.1 pp 2,000 online 3
Nanos Research May 28, 2021 HTML 27.3 38.2 17.0 7.7 6.1 3.1 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 10.9
EKOS May 27, 2021 Twitter 27.8 35.4 17.9 5.6 7.0 4.0 3.0 ±1.7 pp 1,948 IVR 7.6
Leger May 23, 2021 PDF 30 34 19 7 7 N/A 3 ±2.43 pp 1,624 online 4
Mainstreet Research May 23, 2021 HTML 31.4 37.2 13.3 5.2 6.9 N/A 6.0 ±2.7 pp 1,332 IVR 5.8
Nanos Research May 21, 2021 HTML 28.7 36.9 16.1 7.2 7.0 3.6 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 8.2
Angus Reid May 17, 2021 PDF 32 34 18 7 5 N/A 4 ±2.5 pp 1,601 online 2
Leger May 16, 2021 PDF 31 32 19 7 8 N/A 2 ±2.5 pp 1,516 online 1
Ipsos May 14, 2021 HTML 29 38 21 6 5 1 1 ±3.5 pp 1,001 online 9
Nanos Research May 14, 2021 HTML 28.4 36.9 16.7 7.5 6.3 3.5 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 8.5
Abacus Data May 12, 2021 HTML 32 34 17 6 7 3 1 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 2
Leger May 9, 2021 PDF 30 33 19 7 7 N/A 4 ±2.51 pp 1,529 online 3
Nanos Research May 7, 2021 HTML 29.5 35.2 16.6 8.5 6.8 2.8 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.7
EKOS May 6, 2021 HTML 26.1 36.0 19.7 4.0 7.1 4.9 2.2 ±2.3 pp 1,808 IVR 9.9
Innovative Research May 5, 2021 PDF 27 40 18 4 7 3 1 N/A 2,738 online 13
Nanos Research April 30, 2021 HTML 31.1 35.2 16.5 7.3 7.2 2.0 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 4.1
EKOS April 28, 2021 PDF 29.7 34.6 16.9 N/A 7.4 N/A N/A ±1.8 pp 2,902 IVR 4.9
Leger April 25, 2021 PDF 28 34 20 7 7 N/A 4 ±2.48 pp 1,548 online 6
Angus Reid April 25, 2021 PDF 32 34 20 7 5 N/A 5 ±2.2 pp 2,008 online 2
Abacus Data April 25, 2021 HTML 29 36 17 7 7 2 1 ±2.1 pp 2,201 online 7
Nanos Research April 23, 2021 HTML 28.8 36.3 18.1 7.2 7.2 1.9 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.5
Leger April 21, 2021 PDF 30 35 19 6 6 N/A 5 ±2.5 pp 1,504 online 5
Ipsos April 21, 2021 PDF 27 38 19 7 7 N/A 1 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 11
Abacus Data April 21, 2021 Twitter 28 39 16 7 7 N/A N/A N/A 1,900 online 11
Mainstreet Research April 18, 2021 HTML 29.6 36.8 14.9 5.8 6.6 N/A 6.2 ±2.7 pp 1,246 IVR 7.2
Nanos Research April 16, 2021 HTML 29.0 36.1 18.5 6.8 7.4 1.7 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.1
Abacus Data April 14, 2021 HTML 29 37 19 6 6 2 2 ±2.1 pp 1,981 online 8
Innovative Research April 13, 2021 PDF 27 39 17 4 8 4 1 N/A 2,390 online 12
Stratcom April 13, 2021 PDF 30.2 33.1 15.9 6.4 7.4 N/A 7.1 ±1.8 pp 6,537 IVR 2.9
Leger April 11, 2021 PDF 30 35 18 7 7 N/A 3 ±2.53 pp 1,504 online 5
Ipsos April 9, 2021 HTML 30 40 13 9 5 N/A 3 ±3.5 pp 1,001 online 10
Nanos Research April 9, 2021 HTML 29.2 37.6 18.9 5.9 7.0 1.2 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 8.4
Campaign Research April 8, 2021 HTML 33 34 17 7 7 N/A 2 ±2 pp 2,880 online 1
EKOS April 6, 2021 PDF 30.4 32.0 16.3 N/A 8.3 N/A N/A ±2.3 pp 1,734 IVR 1.6
Nanos Research April 2, 2021 HTML 27.0 39.2 18.0 5.6 8.0 1.5 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12.2
Abacus Data March 30, 2021 HTML 30 38 17 7 6 1 1 ±2.1 pp 2,000 online 8
Leger March 28, 2021 PDF 28 35 22 7 6 N/A 2 ±2.51 pp 1,523 online 7
Nanos Research March 26, 2021 HTML 27.4 38.7 17.4 5.8 7.9 2.0 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.3
Mainstreet Research March 22, 2021 HTML 34 37 10 8 6 N/A 5 ±2.23 pp 1,939 IVR 3
Nanos Research March 19, 2021 HTML 27.7 38.0 17.0 5.9 8.0 2.6 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 10.3
Abacus Data March 17, 2021 HTML 29 33 19 7 8 3 1 ±2.1 pp 2,000 online 4
Research Co. March 15, 2021 HTML 28 37 20 7 6 1 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 9
Leger March 14, 2021 PDF 31 36 19 6 5 N/A 4 ±2.52 pp 1,512 online 5
Nanos Research March 12, 2021 HTML 27.6 36.7 17.0 5.6 8.5 3.7 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.1
Abacus Data March 5, 2021 HTML 30 34 18 8 7 2 1 ±2.1 pp 2,000 online 4
Nanos Research March 5, 2021 HTML 29.7 34.8 16.9 6.2 7.4 4.1 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.1
Ipsos March 3, 2021 HTML 28 35 16 7 10 1 2 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 7
Angus Reid March 3, 2021 PDF 31 35 19 6 4 2 3 ±1.4 pp 5,004 online 4
Leger February 28, 2021 PDF 28 35 23 7 6 N/A 2 ±2.50 pp 1,532 online 7
Nanos Research February 26, 2021 HTML 29.4 35.0 16.5 6.2 7.2 4.4 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.6
Mainstreet Research February 24, 2021 HTML 31 36 15 6 7 N/A 5 ±2.55 pp 1,476 IVR 5
Angus Reid February 19, 2021 PDF 31 34 20 7 5 2 2 ±2.2 pp 1,987 online 3
Nanos Research February 19, 2021 HTML 29.0 35.2 16.8 6.8 7.2 4.3 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.2
EKOS February 16, 2021 HTML 31.4 32.9 14.9 N/A 8.6 N/A N/A ±2.43 pp 1,623 IVR 1.5
Leger February 14, 2021 PDF 29 36 20 6 7 N/A 3 ±2.50 pp 1,535 online 7
Nanos Research February 12, 2021 HTML 30.3 34.2 17.0 7.5 6.7 3.3 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.9
Ipsos February 10, 2021 HTML 30 33 20 8 8 N/A 2 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 3
Nanos Research February 5, 2021 HTML 28.9 35.9 16.4 7.4 7.4 3.1 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.0
EKOS February 3, 2021 HTML 28.1 36.5 14.5 N/A 9.3 N/A N/A ±4.1 pp 548 online 8.4
Abacus Data February 3, 2021 HTML 31 32 18 8 7 2 1 ±1.6 pp 3,930 online 1
Innovative Research February 1, 2021 PDF 28 38 15 7 8 N/A 4 N/A 4,449 online 10
Leger January 31, 2021 PDF 28 37 22 7 5 N/A 2 ±2.48 pp 1,559 online 9
Campaign Research January 30, 2021 HTML 30 34 19 6 8 N/A 3 ±2 pp 2,413 online 4
Nanos Research January 29, 2021 HTML 30.3 35.0 15.5 8.5 7.4 2.5 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 4.7
EKOS January 27, 2021 HTML 30.9 34.3 15.0 5.7 7.7 3.7 2.7 ±0.8 pp 8,575 IVR (rolling) 3.4
Angus Reid January 24, 2021 PDF 30 35 20 6 5 1 3 ±2.5 pp 1,559 online 5
Nanos Research January 22, 2021 HTML 28.8 36.3 15.9 8.1 7.8 2.2 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.5
Mainstreet Research January 20, 2021 HTML 31.9 39.3 14.4 5.2 5.2 2.4 1.6 ±1.8 pp 3,132 IVR 7.4
Leger January 17, 2021 PDF 29 36 21 7 6 N/A 2 ±2.53 pp 1,516 online 7
Nanos Research January 15, 2021 HTML 27.4 38.7 15.7 8.0 7.5 2.0 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.3
Abacus Data January 12, 2021 HTML 31 35 17 8 6 1 1 ±2.2 pp 2,000 online 4
EKOS January 12, 2021 PDF 31.3 34.5 15.0 N/A 7.6 N/A N/A ±1.36 pp 5,155 IVR 3.2
Nanos Research January 8, 2021 HTML 27.3 40.2 16.5 6.7 7.4 1.2 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12.9
Ipsos January 6, 2021 HTML 29 36 19 6 8 N/A 2 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 7
Leger January 3, 2021 PDF 30 35 20 7 6 N/A 2 ±2.53 pp 1,506 online 5
Nanos Research January 1, 2021 HTML 25.8 40.4 18.2 6.4 7.3 1.5 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 14.6
Nanos Research December 25, 2020 HTML 26.8 39.9 18.0 6.5 6.9 1.4 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 13.1
Pollara December 23, 2020 PDF 29 38 18 7 6 N/A N/A ±2.8 pp 1,200 online 9
Abacus Data December 18, 2020 HTML 32 35 17 7 7 N/A N/A ±2.1 pp 2,200 online 3
Nanos Research December 18, 2020 HTML 26.2 38.1 20.0 6.3 7.0 1.5 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.9
Mainstreet Research December 17, 2020 PDF 33.2 37.9 13.1 4.9 6.7 2.3 1.9 ±2.7 pp 1,286 IVR 4.7
Research Co. December 14, 2020 PDF 31 37 20 7 3 1 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 6
Ipsos December 14, 2020 HTML 32 35 18 7 7 N/A 1 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 3
Leger December 13, 2020 PDF 29 35 23 7 5 N/A 2 ±2.50 pp 1,528 online 6
Nanos Research December 11, 2020 HTML 26.4 36.8 21.1 7.0 6.3 1.3 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 10.4
Nanos Research December 4, 2020 HTML 26.6 36.0 20.0 7.0 7.9 1.1 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.4
Campaign Research December 3, 2020 HTML 32 35 19 5 6 N/A N/A N/A 1,956 online 3
EKOS December 2, 2020 PDF 30.2 36.3 14.6 N/A 8.8 N/A N/A ±1.71 pp 3,269 IVR 6.1
Angus Reid November 30, 2020 PDF 33 34 19 6 4 1 2 ±1.4 pp 5,003 online 1
Leger November 29, 2020 PDF 30 34 20 7 7 N/A 2 ±2.51 pp 1,516 online 4
Nanos Research November 27, 2020 HTML 26.5 35.7 19.9 6.0 9.4 1.2 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.2
Mainstreet Research November 26, 2020 PDF 31.7 39.0 12.3 5.1 6.7 3.3 1.9 ±2.7 pp 1,341 IVR 7.3
EKOS November 26, 2020 HTML 31.3 35.0 13.9 6.9 6.8 3.8 2.3 ±1.4 pp 5,240 IVR 3.7
Delphi Polling November 25, 2020 HTML 32 38 16 6 6 1 1 N/A 1,000 online 6
Abacus Data November 24, 2020 HTML 30 36 16 7 5 3 2 ±1.85 pp 2,912 online 6
Ipsos November 23, 2020 HTML 31 36 17 8 7 N/A 1 ±3.5 pp 1,001 online 5
Nanos Research November 20, 2020 HTML 26.7 35.9 19.6 5.6 10.0 1.3 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.2
Leger November 15, 2020 PDF 31 35 18 8 6 N/A 2 ±2.51 pp 1,522 online 4
Nanos Research November 13, 2020 HTML 26.4 35.9 19.8 5.4 10.7 1.3 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.5
Abacus Data November 12, 2020 HTML 30 38 15 8 6 2 2 ±2.5 pp 1,664 online 8
Angus Reid November 9, 2020 PDF 33 35 18 7 5 N/A 2 ±2.4 pp 1,602 online 2
Leger November 8, 2020 PDF 28 36 21 7 5 N/A 3 ±2.50 pp 1,534 online 8
Nanos Research November 6, 2020 HTML 28.9 37.6 18.5 4.9 8.5 1.0 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 8.7
Leger November 1, 2020 PDF 31 34 21 7 6 N/A 2 ±2.52 pp 1,516 online 3
Nanos Research October 30, 2020 HTML 27.9 39.5 16.9 5.6 8.2 1.1 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.6
Ipsos October 26, 2020 HTML 32 38 17 6 7 N/A 2 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 6
Leger October 25, 2020 PDF 30 37 18 8 5 N/A 2 ±2.51 pp 1,523 online 7
Nanos Research October 23, 2020 HTML 29.4 38.6 15.6 6.0 8.2 1.2 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.2
Mainstreet Research October 21, 2020 HTML 34.0 35.8 15.0 5.4 5.0 3.4 1.4 ±2.7 pp 1,328 IVR 1.8
EKOS October 19, 2020 Twitter 31.4 35.2 13.7 5.7 8.7 4 2 ±2.6 pp 1,416 IVR 3.8
Leger October 18, 2020 PDF 29 36 18 8 6 N/A 2 ±2.52 pp 1,512 online 7
Nanos Research October 16, 2020 HTML 32.5 38.5 13.4 6.0 7.6 1.4 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.0
Leger October 11, 2020 PDF 29 37 21 7 6 N/A 1 ±2.50 pp 1,539 online 8
Nanos Research October 9, 2020 HTML 33.2 35.3 14.9 6.5 7.9 1.2 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.1
Innovative Research October 6, 2020 PDF 31 37 16 6 5 3 1 N/A 2,771 online 6
Leger October 4, 2020 PDF 32 36 20 7 4 N/A 1 ±2.51 pp 1,523 online 4
Nanos Research October 2, 2020 HTML 33.5 34.1 16.6 6.6 6.8 1.8 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.6
October 3, 2020 Annamie Paul is elected leader of the Green Party
Ipsos October 1, 2020 HTML 31 36 18 7 6 N/A 1 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 5
Abacus Data September 28, 2020 HTML 30 35 17 6 7 3 2 ±2.0 pp 2,440 online 5
Leger September 27, 2020 PDF 30 40 17 8 5 N/A 1 ±2.52 pp 1,514 online 10
Nanos Research September 25, 2020 HTML 34.2 34.1 16.7 6.6 5.9 1.8 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone(rolling) 0.1
Mainstreet Research September 24, 2020 HTML 34.6 37.1 15.2 4.8 4.6 2.2 1.6 ±2.7 pp 1,307 IVR 2.5
Abacus Data September 21, 2020 HTML 32 35 17 6 8 2 1 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 3
Leger September 20, 2020 PDF 30 35 19 8 6 N/A 2 ±2.50 pp 1,538 online 5
Nanos Research September 18, 2020 HTML 33.2 35.0 17.4 6.0 6.1 1.5 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 1.8
Campaign Research September 15, 2020 HTML 30 40 15 6 7 N/A 2 ±2 pp 2,389 online 10
Innovative Research September 15, 2020 PDF 29 39 17 6 7 2 1 N/A 2,374 online 10
Ipsos September 14, 2020 HTML 32 33 20 6 8 N/A 1 ±3.5 pp 1,000 online 1
Research Co. September 13, 2020 PDF 32 38 17 8 3 1 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 6
Leger September 13, 2020 PDF 31 35 18 7 6 N/A 3 ±2.50 pp 1,539 online 4
Nanos Research September 11, 2020 HTML 30.1 35.8 19.1 6.8 6.0 1.5 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.7
Leger September 6, 2020 PDF 32 34 19 7 6 N/A 1 ±2.51 pp 1,529 online 2
Nanos Research September 4, 2020 HTML 31.1 33.2 19.2 7.8 7.6 0.9 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.1
Abacus Data September 3, 2020 HTML 31 33 18 7 7 3 2 ±2.1 pp 2,289 online 2
Angus Reid September 1, 2020 PDF 35 35 17 7 4 1 1 ±1.5 pp 5,005 online 0
Innovative Research September 1, 2020 PDF 28 38 16 7 7 3 1 N/A 2,308 online (rolling) 10
Leger August 30, 2020 PDF 29 35 21 8 5 N/A 2 ±2.51 pp 1,521 online 6
Nanos Research August 28, 2020 HTML 30.5 34.3 19.5 7.6 7.1 0.9 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.8
August 24, 2020 Erin O'Toole is elected leader of the Conservative Party
Leger August 23, 2020 PDF 30 38 18 7 6 N/A 2 ±2.52 pp 1,516 online 8
Nanos Research August 21, 2020 HTML 30.0 34.4 19.7 7.5 7.1 1.1 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 4.4
Abacus Data August 19, 2020 HTML 30 36 18 6 5 4 2 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 6
Ipsos August 18, 2020 HTML 32 35 18 7 7 N/A 2 ±2.5 pp 2,000 online 3
Innovative Research August 18, 2020 PDF 28 40 16 7 6 3 1 N/A 1,934 online 12
Leger August 16, 2020 PDF 32 35 18 8 6 N/A 2 ±2.52 pp 1,510 online 3
Nanos Research August 14, 2020 HTML 31.5 33.5 17.9 6.4 8.6 1.6 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.0
Campaign Research August 13, 2020 HTML 33 30 18 7 8 N/A 4 ±2 pp 2,013 online 3
Mainstreet Research August 12, 2020 HTML 28.9 41.3 15.6 5.5 5.2 2.1 1.5 ±2.5 pp 1,594 IVR 12.4
Leger August 9, 2020 PDF 29 36 15 8 8 N/A 3 ±2.52 pp 1,513 online 7
Nanos Research August 7, 2020 HTML 30.1 36.1 17.6 6.4 7.4 2.0 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.0
Leger August 2, 2020 PDF 31 33 20 8 6 N/A 2 ±2.5 pp 1,531 online 2
Nanos Research July 31, 2020 HTML 29.7 34.3 17.4 6.8 8.3 2.8 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 4.6
Abacus Data July 29, 2020 HTML 30 34 17 8 6 2 3 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 4
Leger July 26, 2020 PDF 29 35 20 9 6 N/A 1 ±2.52 pp 1,517 online 6
Nanos Research July 24, 2020 HTML 29.9 33.3 16.9 6.9 9.3 3.1 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.4
EKOS July 22, 2020 HTML 30.0 34.7 15.2 6.5 7.6 3.5 2.5 ±2.5 pp 1,505 IVR 4.7
Innovative Research July 20, 2020 PDF 28 40 14 7 7 3 1 N/A 2,599 online 12
Leger July 19, 2020 PDF 28 39 17 7 7 N/A 2 ±2.51 pp 1,524 online 11
Nanos Research July 17, 2020 HTML 28.9 34.9 16.9 7.1 8.8 2.8 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 6.0
EKOS July 16, 2020 HTML 29.5 33.2 18.2 6.6 7.6 2.9 2.1 ±3.7 pp 694 IVR 3.7
Abacus Data July 16, 2020 HTML 31 36 16 7 7 2 1 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 5
Leger July 12, 2020 PDF 26 38 19 8 7 N/A 2 ±2.51 pp 1,523 online 12
Nanos Research July 10, 2020 HTML 28.9 35.9 15.6 6.7 9.3 2.7 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.0
Leger July 5, 2020 PDF 25 39 20 8 5 N/A 2 ±2.52 pp 1,517 online 14
Nanos Research July 3, 2020 HTML 27.8 36.3 16.4 6.1 10.1 2.5 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 8.5
Leger June 28, 2020 PDF 28 40 17 7 6 N/A 2 ±2.51 pp 1,524 online 12
Mainstreet Research June 26, 2020 PDF 27.4 43.2 14.1 5.7 4.8 2.9 1.8 ±2.7 pp 1,283 IVR 15.8
Nanos Research June 26, 2020 HTML 27.0 38.4 14.8 6.5 9.3 3.2 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.4
Innovative Research June 23, 2020 PDF 27 41 15 6 8 N/A 3 N/A 2,115 online 14
Leger June 21, 2020 PDF 28 39 19 7 5 N/A 2 ±2.51 pp 1,521 online 11
Abacus Data June 21, 2020 HTML 29 40 16 7 6 2 1 ±1.8 pp 2,979 online 11
Nanos Research June 19, 2020 HTML 26.1 38.2 14.1 7.5 9.5 3.8 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12.1
EKOS June 16, 2020 HTML 29.9 40.5 12.7 5.1 6.5 3.5 1.8 ±1.8 pp 3,006 IVR 10.6
Leger June 14, 2020 PDF 27 40 16 7 7 N/A 3 ±2.51 pp 1,527 online 13
Nanos Research June 12, 2020 HTML 25.7 36.8 16.3 7.0 9.3 4.4 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.1
Abacus Data June 11, 2020 Twitter 29 39 19 6 5 N/A N/A N/A 1,780 online 10
Leger June 7, 2020 PDF 25 46 15 7 6 N/A 1 ±2.51 pp 1,523 online 21
Nanos Research June 5, 2020 HTML 25.5 35.8 16.7 8.1 8.3 4.7 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 10.3
Innovative Research June 1, 2020 PDF 28 42 12 7 7 N/A 4 N/A 2,246 online 14
Leger May 31, 2020 PDF 27 40 18 7 7 N/A 2 ±2.50 pp 1,536 online 13
Abacus Data May 29, 2020 Twitter 29 39 15 7 7 N/A N/A N/A 1,800 online 10
Leger May 25, 2020 PDF 27 41 15 7 6 N/A 2 ±2.52 pp 1,510 online 14
Angus Reid May 24, 2020 PDF 31 37 17 7 5 N/A 3 ±1.4 pp 5,001 online 6
Nanos Research May 22, 2020 HTML 26.2 35.3 19.3 6.6 7.5 4.6 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.1
Leger May 17, 2020 PDF 25 44 15 7 7 N/A 2 ±2.52 pp 1,513 online 19
Abacus Data May 17, 2020 HTML 31 39 16 7 6 N/A N/A ±2.3 pp 1,800 online 8
Nanos Research May 15, 2020 HTML 26.3 36.7 18.4 6.7 7.2 4.1 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 10.4
Leger May 10, 2020 PDF 28 41 17 7 6 N/A 1 ±2.51 pp 1,526 online 13
Nanos Research May 8, 2020 HTML 26.1 36.9 19.2 6.1 8.0 3.2 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 10.8
Mainstreet Research May 7, 2020 HTML 29.4 43.3 11.5 5.8 5.9 3.0 1.1 ±2.6 pp 1,404 IVR 13.9
EKOS May 7, 2020 HTML 28.3 42.7 10.6 6.7 6.7 3.3 1.7 ±1.4 pp 5,276 IVR 14.4
Innovative Research May 5, 2020 PDF 28 41 13 6 7 N/A 3 N/A 2,699 online 13
Research Co. May 3, 2020 PDF 30 39 17 5 7 1 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 9
Leger May 3, 2020 PDF 25 44 15 7 6 N/A 2 ±2.51 pp 1,526 online 19
Nanos Research May 1, 2020 HTML 25.8 36.9 19.0 5.8 8.4 3.6 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.1
Leger April 26, 2020 PDF 28 43 14 7 6 N/A 2 ±2.51 pp 1,515 online 15
Abacus Data April 24, 2020 Twitter 30 38 16 8 6 N/A N/A N/A 2,481 online 8
Nanos Research April 24, 2020 HTML 26.2 38.2 17.0 6.9 8.0 3.4 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 12.0
Leger April 19, 2020 PDF 29 42 14 8 5 N/A 2 ±2.53 pp 1,504 online 13
Angus Reid April 17, 2020 PDF 33 36 17 8 4 N/A 3 ±2.2 pp 1,912 online 3
Nanos Research April 17, 2020 HTML 26.4 38.3 17.4 7.2 7.0 2.8 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 11.9
Leger April 12, 2020 PDF 28 39 18 6 8 N/A 2 ±2.52 pp 1,508 online 11
Nanos Research April 10, 2020 HTML 28.4 38.1 15.7 8.1 6.7 2.0 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.7
Nanos Research April 3, 2020 HTML 29.1 38.9 14.8 8.4 6.5 1.1 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 9.8
Innovative Research April 2, 2020 PDF [lower-alpha 6] 27 40 15 8 7 2 1 N/A 2,059 online 13
Nanos Research March 27, 2020 HTML 30.9 36.1 16.6 7.0 7.0 0.8 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.2
EKOS March 26, 2020 HTML 28.6 40.4 12.2 8.6 5.9 2.2 2.1 ±2.0 pp 2,304 IVR 11.8
Nanos Research March 20, 2020 HTML 32.5 34.8 17.4 6.0 7.0 1.3 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.3
Mainstreet Research March 17, 2020 HTML 32.2 38.6 11.1 8.8 5.7 1.7 1.9 ±2.4 pp 1,665 IVR 6.4
Nanos Research March 13, 2020 HTML 29.5 37.0 17.6 5.9 7.4 1.8 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 7.5
Nanos Research March 6, 2020 HTML 32.4 34.8 17.1 5.8 7.4 1.8 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.4
Leger March 2, 2020 PDF 30 32 20 8 8 N/A 2 ±2.50 pp 1,540 online 2
Angus Reid February 28, 2020 PDF 34 26 21 9 7 N/A 3 ±1.4 pp 5,043 online 8
Nanos Research February 28, 2020 HTML 35.1 35.3 15.0 5.9 6.5 1.6 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.2
Campaign Research February 26, 2020 HTML 30 30 19 8 11 N/A 3 ±2.5 pp 1,606 online 0
Nanos Research February 21, 2020 HTML 36.2 33.0 15.4 6.8 6.6 1.4 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.2
Nanos Research February 14, 2020 HTML 36.1 32.7 15.5 7.1 7.0 1.1 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.4
Nanos Research February 7, 2020 HTML 35.5 33.4 13.7 7.8 8.0 1.0 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.1
Nanos Research January 31, 2020 HTML 33.1 33.2 16.4 7.7 7.9 1.1 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.1
Leger January 30, 2020 PDF 32 34 19 7 7 N/A 1 ±2.53 pp 1,501 online 2
Nanos Research January 24, 2020 HTML 31.0 33.8 16.7 8.3 8.9 0.9 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.8
Leger January 21, 2020 PDF 32 31 19 8 8 N/A 2 ±2.49 pp 1,552 online 1
Abacus Data January 17, 2020 HTML 30 34 17 6 8 3 2 ±2.5 pp 1,500 online 4
Mainstreet Research January 17, 2020 HTML 32.4 39.8 10.6 6.6 5.4 2.8 2.4 ±2.55 pp 1,470 IVR 7.4
Nanos Research January 17, 2020 HTML 30.8 34.1 16.4 8.1 8.6 1.2 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.3
Nanos Research January 10, 2020 HTML 31.5 32.2 17.8 8.1 8.1 1.7 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.7
Leger January 7, 2020 PDF 31 34 18 7 8 N/A 2 ±2.49 pp 1,554 online 3
Nanos Research January 3, 2020 HTML 31.3 33.7 17.0 7.1 8.8 1.4 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.4
Nanos Research December 27, 2019 HTML 31.4 34.7 16.4 6.3 8.8 1.7 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.3
Nanos Research December 20, 2019 HTML 29.6 34.7 17.7 6.0 9.8 1.4 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 5.1
Abacus Data December 16, 2019 HTML 30 33 18 7 8 2 2 ±2.1 pp 1,500 online 3
Angus Reid December 15, 2019 PDF 33 30 19 8 7 N/A 3 ±2.0 pp 2,011 online 3
Nanos Research December 13, 2019 HTML 30.5 33.8 18.7 5.0 10.2 0.9 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 3.3
December 12, 2019 Andrew Scheer announces his intention to resign as the leader of the Conservative Party
EKOS December 10, 2019 PDF 29.6 31.1 16.8 5.8 9.8 4.2 2.7 ±2.0 pp 2,339 IVR 1.5
Nanos Research December 6, 2019 HTML 31.0 33.6 17.5 6.7 9.8 0.6 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.6
Nanos Research November 29, 2019 HTML 31.3 34.1 17.1 6.4 9.5 0.8 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.8
Leger November 25, 2019 PDF 30 32 19 7 7 3 1 ±1.78 pp 3,040 online 2
Nanos Research November 22, 2019 HTML 30.9 33.7 17.2 6.8 9.3 1.4 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.8
Nanos Research November 15, 2019 HTML 30.8 32.8 19.0 7.6 7.3 1.9 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 2.0
Nanos Research November 8, 2019 HTML 31.3 31.8 19.9 6.9 7.6 2.1 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 0.5
November 4, 2019 Jo-Ann Roberts is named interim leader of the Green Party
Nanos Research November 1, 2019 HTML 32.5 31.1 19.0 6.7 8.5 1.8 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 (1/4) telephone (rolling) 1.4
Nanos Research October 25, 2019 HTML 32.5 31.7 20.8 7.2 6.0 1.5 N/A ±3.1 pp 1,000 telephone (rolling) 0.8
2019 election[lower-alpha 7] October 21, 2019 HTML 34.3 33.1 16.0 7.6 6.5 1.6 0.9 N/A 18,170,880 N/A 1.2
Polling firm Last date
of polling[lower-alpha 1]
Link Others[lower-alpha 5] Margin
of error[lower-alpha 2]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Polling method[lower-alpha 4] Lead
CPC LPC NDP BQ GPC PPC

Regional polls

A number of polling firms survey federal voting intentions on a regional or provincial level:

Atlantic Canada

Polling firm Last date
of polling
Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[lower-alpha 2]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Polling method[lower-alpha 4] Lead
Narrative Research May 17, 2020 PDF 60 21 10 7 1 N/A ±2.5 pp 1,500 telephone 39

New Brunswick

Polling firm Last date
of polling
Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Other Margin
of error[lower-alpha 2]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Polling method[lower-alpha 4] Lead
Narrative Research August 20, 2021 PDF 44 24 18 10 4 N/A ±5.6 pp 308 telephone 20

Newfoundland and Labrador

Polling firm Last date
of polling
Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[lower-alpha 2]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Polling method[lower-alpha 4] Lead
Narrative Research August 29, 2021 PDF 52 25 24 <1 1 N/A ±5.4 pp 333 telephone 27

Nova Scotia

Polling firm Last date
of polling
Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Other Margin
of error[lower-alpha 2]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Polling method[lower-alpha 4] Lead
Narrative Research August 22, 2021 PDF 33 36 28 1 1 N/A ±5.3 pp 341 telephone 3

Prince Edward Island

Polling firm Last date
of polling
Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[lower-alpha 2]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Polling method[lower-alpha 4] Lead
Narrative Research August 25, 2021 PDF 39 35 13 12 1 N/A ±6.2 pp 247 telephone 4
MQO Research March 10, 2020 PDF 38 41 9 11 0 N/A ±4.9 pp 400 telephone 3

Central Canada

Quebec

Polling firm Last date
of polling
Link LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[lower-alpha 2]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Polling method[lower-alpha 4] Lead
Leger September 1, 2021 PDF 33 20 13 28 3 2 1 ±1.8 pp 3,102 online 5
Leger December 13, 2020 PDF 33 21 11 30 4 N/A 1 ±3.1 pp 1,004 online 3
Leger September 3, 2020 PDF 30 20 14 30 5 N/A 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 0

Ontario

Polling firm Last date
of polling
Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[lower-alpha 2]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Polling method[lower-alpha 4] Lead
Campaign Research September 9, 2021 HTML 37 33 22 4 3 N/A ±2 pp 1,565 online 4
Greater Toronto Area
Polling firm Last date
of polling
Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[lower-alpha 2]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Polling method[lower-alpha 4] Lead
Forum Research September 10, 2021 PDF 39 33 15 3 10 1 ±4 pp 493 IVR 6
Nanos Research August 29, 2021 HTML 44 33 17 4 4 N/A ±4.4 pp 502 telephone 11
Mainstreet Research August 21, 2021 HTML 43 29 20 5 3 N/A ±4.2 pp 532 telephone 14
Forum Research August 15, 2021 PDF 36 35 17 3 6 2 ±4 pp 502 IVR 1

Western Canada

Manitoba

Polling firm Last date
of polling
Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[lower-alpha 2]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Polling method[lower-alpha 4] Lead
Leger September 8, 2021 HTML 30 38 22 3 4 ±4.0 pp 600 online 8
Probe Research June 11, 2021 PDF 29 32 28 7 4 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online/phone/IVR 3
Probe Research March 26, 2021 PDF 29 37 25 6 4 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online/phone/IVR 8
Probe Research December 4, 2020 PDF 32 37 24 5 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online/phone/IVR 5
Probe Research September 17, 2020 PDF 33 40 21 5 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online/phone/IVR 7
Probe Research June 11, 2020 PDF 36 33 22 5 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online/phone/IVR 1

Alberta

Polling firm Last date
of polling
Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[lower-alpha 2]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Polling method[lower-alpha 4] Lead
Janet Brown April 10, 2021 PDF 24 53 17 2 2 0 ±2.8 pp 1,200 Online/phone 29

British Columbia

Polling firm Last date
of polling
Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Margin
of error[lower-alpha 2]
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Polling method[lower-alpha 4] Lead
Insights West September 16, 2021 HTML 22 34 33 7 4 ±2.8 pp 1,201 online 1
Leger September 12, 2021 HTML 30 31 29 ±3.1 pp 861 online 1
Insights West September 4, 2021 HTML 19 33 35 8 5 ±3.1 pp 1,003 online 2
Leger August 22, 2021 HTML 27 25 25 5 ±3.1 pp 1,002 online 2
Research Co. August 9, 2021 PDF 37 23 29 9 2 ±3.5 pp 800 online 8

Constituency polls

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Leadership polls

Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on which political party leader would make the best Prime Minister:

October 2020 – present

Polling firm Last date

of polling

Link Justin Trudeau Erin O'Toole Jagmeet Singh Yves-François Blanchet Annamie Paul Maxime Bernier Unsure Margin
of error
[lower-alpha 2]
Lead
Research Co. September 13, 2021 PDF 34 26 18 5 2 ±3.1 pp 7
Leger September 13, 2021 PDF 25 20 22 2 4 15 ±2.4 pp 3
Nanos Research September 11, 2021 PDF 34.0 26.2 17.7 3.2 2.0 4.7 12.2 ±2.8 pp 7.8
Nanos Research September 8, 2021 PDF 28.1 27.5 21.2 3.2 1.7 6.2 12.1 ±2.8 pp 0.6
Nanos Research September 7, 2021 PDF 29.9 26.3 21.1 2.9 1.9 4.8 13.0 ±2.8 pp 3.6
Nanos Research September 2, 2021 PDF 27.3 31.1 19.6 2.6 2.2 4.4 12.8 ±3.1 pp 3.8
Leger August 30, 2021 PDF 23 21 23 1 3 15 ±2.4 pp 0
Innovative Research August 30, 2021 PDF 34 28 26 4 3 5 N/A 6
Nanos Research August 28, 2021 PDF 29.7 27.6 19.5 2.3 2.2 4.1 14.5 ±3.1 pp 2.1
Nanos Research August 21, 2021 PDF 32.6 26.3 17.9 3.2 2.0 3.6 14.4 ±3.1 pp 6.3
Leger August 16, 2021 PDF 27 15 18 1 3 17 ±2.4 pp 9
Nanos Research August 13, 2021 PDF 35.6 17.9 16.9 4.3 2.6 2.9 20.1 ±3.1 pp 17.7
Leger August 12, 2021 PDF 25 15 18 2 4 19 ±2.4 pp 7
Leger August 1, 2021 PDF 27 11 19 1 3 19 ±2.52 pp 8
Nanos Research July 23, 2021 PDF 38.9 15.7 17.6 3.5 1.0 3.5 19.9 ±3.1 pp 21.3
Nanos Research July 9, 2021 PDF 37.4 14.3 17.6 2.7 1.4 3.0 23.6 ±3.1 pp 19.8
Leger July 4, 2021 PDF 22 16 17 1 4 20 ±2.52 pp 5
Nanos Research July 2, 2021 PDF 35.1 15.7 16.7 3.4 1.7 2.8 24.6 ±3.1 pp 18.4
Nanos Research June 25, 2021 PDF 33.3 17.4 15.7 3.7 2.4 3.5 24.1 ±3.1 pp 15.9
Ipsos June 22, 2021 PDF 42 23 23 6 5 N/A N/A ±2.9 pp 19
Nanos Research June 11, 2021 PDF 35.1 19.9 13.8 4.2 4.2 4.7 18.1 ±3.1 pp 15.2
Nanos Research May 14, 2021 PDF 36.3 20.8 12.6 5.2 5.3 5.2 14.6 ±3.1 pp 15.5
Innovative Research May 5, 2021 HTML 44 20 23 2 4 6 N/A 21
Ipsos April 9, 2021 HTML 42 25 17 8 7 N/A ±3.5 pp 17
Nanos Research April 2, 2021 PDF 40.1 18.9 13.2 2.3 4.1 2.9 18.5 ±3.1 pp 21.2
Nanos Research March 26, 2021 PDF 38.9 19.3 13.7 2.2 4.7 3.2 18.0 ±3.1 pp 19.6
Research Co. March 15, 2021 PDF 40 15 12 3 2 2 25 ±3.1 pp 25
Nanos Research March 12, 2021 PDF 36.7 22.0 14.4 3.7 5.6 3.4 14.2 ±3.1 pp 14.7
Nanos Research February 26, 2021 PDF 34.0 24.5 15.2 4.2 4.6 4.1 14.2 ±3.1 pp 9.5
Nanos Research February 5, 2021 PDF 38.1 24.7 13.5 5.4 4.6 4.1 9.6 ±3.1 pp 13.4
Nanos Research January 15, 2021 PDF 38.5 23.9 13.3 4.6 4.2 3.2 12.3 ±3.1 pp 14.6
Nanos Research January 1, 2021 PDF 39.3 20.3 13.1 3.2 3.9 2.4 17.7 ±3.1 pp 19.0
Nanos Research December 18, 2020 PDF 38.2 21.1 13.2 3.6 2.2 2.2 19.6 ±3.1 pp 17.1
Research Co. December 14, 2020 PDF 39 22 13 3 2 2 ±3.1 pp 17
Nanos Research December 11, 2020 PDF 37.5 19.7 13.5 3.9 3.2 2.3 19.9 ±3.1 pp 17.8
Nanos Research November 20, 2020 PDF 38.5 20.3 14.5 3.4 1.8 2.0 19.5 ±3.1 pp 18.2
Nanos Research October 30, 2020 PDF 39.0 20.1 12.7 2.8 2.5 1.9 21.0 ±3.1 pp 18.9
Nanos Research October 23, 2020 PDF 37.7 21.6 12.6 2.9 2.7 2.1 20.5 ±3.1 pp 16.1
Nanos Research October 16, 2020 PDF 38.5 23.0 11.1 1.9 2.9 2.5 20.1 ±3.1 pp 15.0
Nanos Research October 9, 2020 PDF 37.1 22.5 11.6 2.8 4.0 2.1 19.7 ±3.1 pp 14.6

September 2020

Polling firm Last date

of polling

Link Justin Trudeau Erin O'Toole Jagmeet Singh Yves-François Blanchet Elizabeth May Maxime Bernier Unsure Margin
of error
[lower-alpha 2]
Lead
Nanos Research September 25, 2020 PDF 35.6 22.8 13.2 3.1 3.3 2.1 19.9 ±3.1 pp 12.8
Nanos Research September 4, 2020 PDF 34.4 20.2 15.2 4.2 4.0 1.5 20.5 ±3.1 pp 14.2

October 2019 – August 2020

Polling firm Last date

of polling

Link Justin Trudeau Andrew Scheer Jagmeet Singh Yves-François Blanchet Elizabeth May Maxime Bernier Unsure Margin
of error
[lower-alpha 2]
Lead
Nanos Research August 21, 2020 PDF 33.9 18.6 14.3 4.7 5.4 1.8 21.4 ±3.1 pp 15.3
Innovative Research August 18, 2020 PDF 47 21 22 6 5 N/A 26
Nanos Research August 7, 2020 PDF 32.6 20.7 12.5 5.2 6.7 3.1 19.2 ±3.1 pp 11.9
Nanos Research July 17, 2020 PDF 35.6 19.7 14.9 6.7 6.4 4.1 12.7 ±3.1 pp 15.9
Nanos Research June 26, 2020 PDF 40.2 18.0 13.7 4.7 7.4 2.7 13.2 ±3.1 pp 22.2
Nanos Research June 12, 2020 PDF 39.1 16.9 14.4 5.2 7.3 3.7 13.3 ±3.1 pp 22.2
Nanos Research May 29, 2020 PDF 38.8 15.5 14.4 6.1 5.8 4.8 13.2 ±3.1 pp 23.3
Nanos Research May 15, 2020 PDF 37.5 17.2 14.5 7.0 6.2 4.2 13.2 ±3.1 pp 20.3
Nanos Research May 8, 2020 PDF 38.0 17.0 14.3 7.0 7.5 4.0 12.0 ±3.1 pp 21.0
Nanos Research May 1, 2020 PDF 37.1 17.8 15.5 6.7 7.6 3.9 11.5 ±3.1 pp 19.3
Nanos Research April 24, 2020 PDF 38.0 17.3 15.7 6.6 7.0 4.3 11.2 ±3.1 pp 20.7
Nanos Research April 17, 2020 PDF 37.4 16.3 15.5 6.2 6.2 3.7 14.8 ±3.1 pp 21.1
Nanos Research April 10, 2020 PDF 37.6 17.1 15.2 5.7 4.8 1.1 16.5 ±3.1 pp 20.5
Nanos Research April 3, 2020 PDF 35.4 17.8 14.1 5.4 5.4 2.1 19.8 ±3.1 pp 17.6
Nanos Research March 27, 2020 PDF 31.9 19.7 13.2 4.3 5.8 1.8 23.3 ±3.1 pp 12.2
Nanos Research March 20, 2020 PDF 30.7 21.4 12.8 3.8 6.2 2.2 22.9 ±3.1 pp 9.3
Nanos Research March 13, 2020 PDF 32.3 19.2 12.2 3.8 6.9 2.5 23.1 ±3.1 pp 13.1
Nanos Research March 6, 2020 PDF 32.6 20.6 12.3 3.8 6.1 2.1 22.6 ±3.1 pp 12.0
Nanos Research February 28, 2020 PDF 31.9 19.7 13.2 4.3 5.8 1.1 23.3 ±3.1 pp 12.2
Nanos Research February 14, 2020 PDF 34.0 21.0 12.4 3.4 5.3 1.5 22.3 ±3.1 pp 13.0
Nanos Research February 7, 2020 PDF 34.5 20.6 12.9 4.2 4.9 1.8 21.2 ±3.1 pp 13.9
Nanos Research January 31, 2020 PDF 33.3 20.1 13.2 5.1 5.1 2.2 21.0 ±3.1 pp 13.2
Nanos Research January 24, 2020 PDF 33.3 19.8 13.4 4.8 6.1 1.9 20.6 ±3.1 pp 13.5
Nanos Research January 17, 2020 PDF 32.8 19.6 13.0 4.9 6.2 2.5 21.1 ±3.1 pp 13.2
Nanos Research January 10, 2020 PDF 31.0 20.9 14.4 4.2 6.8 2.0 20.7 ±3.1 pp 10.1
Nanos Research January 3, 2020 PDF 32.2 21.1 15.1 3.3 6.4 1.7 20.1 ±3.1 pp 11.1
Nanos Research December 27, 2019 PDF 34.4 21.1 14.4 3.1 5.3 2.2 19.4 ±3.1 pp 13.3
Nanos Research December 20, 2019 PDF 36.0 21.0 15.9 2.8 6.4 1.7 16.2 ±3.1 pp 15.0
Nanos Research December 13, 2019 PDF 35.8 21.9 16.1 2.6 7.0 1.5 15.3 ±3.1 pp 13.9
Nanos Research December 6, 2019 PDF 36.6 22.0 15.4 3.1 7.0 1.4 14.6 ±3.1 pp 14.6
Nanos Research November 29, 2019 PDF 38.2 21.5 15.1 2.7 7.4 1.1 14.0 ±3.1 pp 16.7
Nanos Research November 22, 2019 PDF 35.1 22.0 15.4 3.1 7.0 2.1 15.3 ±3.1 pp 13.1
Nanos Research November 15, 2019 PDF 32.3 23.9 17.8 3.9 5.8 1.8 13.5 ±3.1 pp 8.4
Nanos Research November 8, 2019 PDF 31.1 24.9 19.0 3.4 6.2 2.0 13.5 ±3.1 pp 6.2
Nanos Research November 1, 2019 PDF 30.0 27.0 17.3 3.4 7.2 1.6 13.6 ±3.1 pp 3.0

See also

Notes

  1. 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 Polls that share the same last date of polling are ordered from earliest (below) to latest (above) first date of polling. Polls that have identical field dates are placed in the order in which they were released/published (earliest below, latest above).
  2. 2.00 2.01 2.02 2.03 2.04 2.05 2.06 2.07 2.08 2.09 2.10 2.11 2.12 2.13 2.14 2.15 2.16 2.17 In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
  3. 3.00 3.01 3.02 3.03 3.04 3.05 3.06 3.07 3.08 3.09 3.10 3.11 3.12 3.13 3.14 Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
  4. 4.00 4.01 4.02 4.03 4.04 4.05 4.06 4.07 4.08 4.09 4.10 4.11 4.12 4.13 4.14 "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.
  5. 5.0 5.1 Support for other parties may include the People's Party of Canada depending on the poll.
  6. Percent voting intentions given in the report have been adjusted to reflect only decided/leaning voters for consistency among poll results in the table.
  7. Party columns are ordered from largest to smallest share of the popular vote in the 2019 election, not according to the number of seats won.

References

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