Opinion polling for the Norwegian parliamentary election, 2009
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Poll results for the Norwegian parliamentary elections which will be held in Norway on 14 September 2009.[needs update] The most recent results is shown at the bottom of the list.
Poll results
Polling Firm | Date | Source | FrP | DNA | H | KrF | SV | Sp | V | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Norstat | 2008-04 | [1] | 24.7% | 29.4% | 16.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 2.3% |
Respons Analyse | 2008-04 | [2] | 25.3% | 31.6% | 15.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
TNS Gallup | 2008-04 | [3] | 23.5% | 31.6% | 18.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
Norstat | 2008-05 | [4] | 30.8% | 26.6% | 17.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
Respons Analyse | 2008-05 | [5] | 24.8% | 28.8% | 19.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
TNS Gallup | 2008-05 | [6] | 26.5% | 26.3% | 18.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
Sentio-Norsk Statistikk | 2008-06 | [7] | 29.3% | 23.9% | 17.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% |
Norstat | 2008-06 | [8] | 30.6% | 26.0% | 15.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
Respons Analyse | 2008-06 | [9] | 30.7% | 26.4% | 17.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
TNS Gallup | 2008-06 | [10] | 28.3% | 30.3% | 16.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
Norstat | 2008-07 | [11] | 30.7% | 28.1% | 16.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
Norstat | 2008-08 | [12] | 32.1% | 26.2% | 16.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
TNS Gallup | 2008-08 | [13] | 30.4% | 29.2% | 15.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
Norstat | 2008-09 | [14] | 30.7% | 29.3% | 13.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
Respons Analyse | 2008-09 | [15] | 31.7% | 27.9% | 14.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
Norstat | 2008-10 | [16] | 26.3% | 32.2% | 15.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
Norstat | 2008-11 | [17] | 27.5% | 31.1% | 14.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
TNS Gallup | 2008-12 | [18] | 21.6% | 32.4% | 16.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
Respons Analyse | 2008-12 | [19] | 21.5% | 32.5% | 18.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 0.9% |
Opinion | 2008-12 | [20] | 25.1% | 27.5% | 19.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% |
Norstat | 2008-12 | [21] | 25.7% | 30.7% | 17.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
Sentio | 2008-12 | [22] | 24.0% | 29.9% | 16.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
Opinion | 2009-01 | [23] | 28.6% | 28.7% | 15.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
Sentio | 2009-01 | [24] | 24.5% | 36.5% | 13.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
Synovate | 2009-01 | [25] | 19.5% | 34.5% | 16.6% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
Norstat | 2009-02 | [26] | 21.6% | 35.4% | 15.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
Synovate | 2009-02 | [27] | 20.8% | 35.1% | 15.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
Norstat | 2009-02 | [28] | 29.4% | 33.0% | 12.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
Infact | 2009-03 | [29] | 27.2% | 32.2% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
Norfakta | 2009-03 | [30] | 28.0% | 31.0% | 14.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
Norstat | 2009-03 | [31] | 30.1% | 31.3% | 14.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
Norstat | 2009-03 | [32] | 29.7% | 31.7% | 13.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
Opinion | 2009-03 | [33] | 30.9% | 28.4% | 13.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
Respons Analyse | 2009-03 | [34] | 25.4% | 32.8% | 14.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
Sentio | 2009-03 | [35] | 26.9% | 32.9% | 14.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
Synovate | 2009-03 | [36] | 23.7% | 36.2% | 11.5% | 4.7% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
TNB | 2009-03 | [37] | 27.4% | 32.4% | 13.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
TNS Gallup/TV2 | 2009-03 | [38] | 24.7% | 35.5% | 15.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
Sentio/BT | 2009-04-02 | [39] | 29.6% | 31.5% | 13.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
TNS Gallup/TV2 | 2009-04-02 | [40] | 26.0% | 35.7% | 12.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% |
Norstat/NRK | 2009-04-09 | [41] | 26.4% | 31.7% | 13.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
Infact/VG | 2009-04-17 | [42] | 25.8% | 29.1% | 17.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
Sentio/DN | 2009-04-17 | [43] | 28.4% | 29.7% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
Norfakta/Nationen/Klassekampen | 2009-04-18 | [44] | 27.7% | 33.6% | 14.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
Opinion/ANB | 2009-04-23 | [45] | 28.5% | 29.1% | 13.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
Opinion/ANB | 2009-04-23 | [46] | 30.3% | 34.5% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
Synovate/Dagbladet | 2009-04-25 | [47] | 25.2% | 35.2% | 14.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
TNS Gallup/TV2 | 2009-05-04 | [48] | 24.2% | 33.0% | 14.3% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
Norstat/NRK | 2009-05-07 | [49] | 27.7% | 34.1% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
Norfakta/Nationen/Klassekampen | 2009-05-09 | [50] | 26.9% | 31.1% | 13.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
Opinion/ANB | 2009-05-14 | [51] | 28.5% | 29.0% | 13.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 3.3% |
Sentio/DN | 2009-05-15 | [52] | 30.3% | 31.5% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
Respons/Aftenposten | 2009-05-15 | [53] | 24.0% | 35.8% | 15.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
Respons/VG | 2009-05-15 | [54] | 25.9% | 33.3% | 15.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
Respons/Aftenposten | 2009-06-12 | [55] | 26.1% | 35.4% | 13.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
Sentio/DN | 2009-06-13 | [56] | 29.3% | 23.9% | 17.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% |
Norstat/Vårt Land | 2009-06-26 | [57] | 28.6% | 29.4% | 13.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
Norfakta | 2009-07-06 | [58] | 29.8% | 32.6% | 13.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
Average polling
The following table gives the average of 10 monthly opinion polls (9 before December 2008 - Synovate, Opinion, Gallup, Sentio BT, Sentio DN, Norstat NRK, Norstat VL, Respons, Infact and, from December 2008, Norfakta).[1][2]
Party | Result, Parliam. election 2005 | Result, County elections 2007 | Aug 2008 | Sep 2008 | Oct 2008 | Nov 2008 | Dec 2008 | Jan 2009 | Feb 2009 | Mar 2009 | Apr 2009 | May 2009 | Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | Aug 2009 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour | 32.7% | 30.8% | 26.5% | 29.0% | 30.6% | 31.4% | 30.7% | 33.9% | 34.2% | 32.8% | 32.5% | 32.9% | 32.9% | 33.1% | 32.4% |
Progress | 22.1% | 18.5% | 30.8% | 29.6% | 26.5% | 24.2% | 23.7% | 23.2% | 24.1% | 27.3% | 27.0% | 26.4% | 26.0% | 28.2% | 25.7% |
Conservative | 14.1% | 18.8% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 13.8% |
Socialist Left | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% |
Christian Democratic | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% |
Centre | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% |
Liberal | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% |
Red | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
Others | 1.9% | 3.2% | 0.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% |
The following table gives the average of poll results through the electoral campaign, here the last six weeks before the election.[1] The biggest surprise was the successful campaign of the Conservative Party, which saw a great increase in its poll results at the cost of the Progress Party, up until the election day.[3]
Party | Week 32 | Week 33 | Week 34 | Week 35 | Week 36 | Week 37 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour | 32.7% | 31.9% | 32.1% | 33.0% | 32.0% | 33.4% |
Progress | 26.2% | 26.4% | 26.5% | 23.7% | 23.7% | 23.0% |
Conservative | 13.2% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 16.1% |
Socialist Left | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% |
Christian Democratic | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% |
Centre | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% |
Liberal | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% |
Red | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% |
NRK polling
Polls During the Campaign | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling firm | Month | Lab. | Pro. | Con. | Soc. | Cen. | Chr. | Lib. | Red |
Norstat NRK[4] | August 2008 | 26% | 30.6% | 15.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
Norstat NRK[4] | September | 29.5% | 29.2% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
Norstat NRK[4] | October | 32.5% | 26.3% | 15.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
Norstat NRK[4] | November | 31.1% | 27.5% | 14.5% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
Norstat NRK[4] | December | 30.7% | 25.9% | 17.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
Norstat NRK[4] | January 2009 | 33.2% | 24.4% | 17.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
Norstat NRK[4] | February | 35.4% | 21.6% | 15.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 1.3% |
Norstat NRK[4] | March | 31.3% | 30.1% | 14.1% | 6.6% | 5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
Norstat NRK[4] | April | 31.7% | 26.4% | 13.7% | 7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1% |
Norstat NRK[4] | May | 34.1% | 27.7% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 0.2% |
Norstat NRK[4] | June | 33% | 29.7% | 12% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
Norstat NRK[4] | July | 33.2% | 28.1% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
Norstat NRK[4] | August | 33% | 25.1% | 13.6% | 7.1% | 6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
Norstat NRK[5] | September (9) | 35% | 24% | 13.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6% | 2.1% |
Synovate NRK[6] | September (10) | 33.8% | 21.4% | 14.5% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
Results[7] | Election day | 35.4% | 22.9% | 17.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
References
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 From the homepage of Professor of Political Science at the University of Oslo, Bernt Aardal in Norwegian
- ↑ TV2, Partibarometeret in Norwegian
- ↑ Sør-Trøndelag og Trondheim Høyre, "Historisk Høyre-valgkamp"
- ↑ 4.00 4.01 4.02 4.03 4.04 4.05 4.06 4.07 4.08 4.09 4.10 4.11 4.12 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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