Orders of magnitude (probability)
From Infogalactic: the planetary knowledge core
Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. This page is a progressive and labeled list of probability in orders of magnitude, with certain examples appended to some list objects.
| Factor | SI prefix | Value | Item |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10−10 | 2.0×10−10 | Probability per second of a SATA harddisk failure during an MTBF test[1] | |
| 5.25×10−10 | Caesium-137 Atom decay each second[2] | ||
| 9.9×10−10 | Gaussian distribution: probability of a value being more than 6 standard deviations from the mean on a specific side[3] | ||
| 10−9 | Nano- (n) | 3.9×10−9 | Probability of an entry winning the jackpot in the Mega Millions multi-state lottery in the United States*[4] |
| 10−7 | 1.17×10−7 | Death per aircraft journey[5] | |
| 2.9×10−7 | Gaussian distribution: probability of a value being more than 5 standard deviations from the mean on a specific side[6] | ||
| 8.0×10−7 | Death per person per year by lightning strike in Germany (Europe)[7] | ||
| 10−6 | Micro- (µ) | 1×10−6 | Life-threatening adverse reaction from a measles vaccine[8] |
| 10−5 | 1.6×10−5 | Risk that the asteroid 2013 TV135 which is 450 meter wide[9] will impact earth in 2032[10] | |
| 3.2×10−5 | Gaussian distribution: probability of a value being more than 4 standard deviations from the mean on a specific side[11] | ||
| 8.43×10−5 | Probability of a deadly vehicle accident per person in Europe each year (not including Yugoslavia)[12] | ||
| 10−4 | 1×10−4 | Asteroid 99942 Apophis impact in 2029 on earth | |
| 10−3 | Milli- (m) | 1.3×10−3 | Gaussian distribution: probability of a value being more than 3 standard deviations from the mean on a specific side[13] |
| 1.4×10−3 | Probability of a human birth giving triplets or higher-order multiples[14] | ||
| 10−2 | 2.3×10−2 | Gaussian distribution: probability of a value being more than 2 standard deviations from the mean on a specific side[13] | |
| 3.3×10−2 | Probability of a human birth giving twins[15] | ||
| 10−1 | Deci- (d) | 1.04×10−1 | Death per space shuttle journey[5] |
| 1.6×10−1 | Gaussian distribution: probability of a value being more than 1 standard deviation from the mean on a specific side[16] | ||
| 1.7×10−1 | Chance of rolling a '6' on a six-sided die | ||
| 5.0×10−1 | Chance of getting a 'head' in a coin toss | ||
| 100 | 1×100 | Almost sure |
References
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- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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- ↑ 5.0 5.1 Informed Sources Archive Alycidon Rail web site. Retrieved 29 April 2009. The site cites the source as an October 2000 article by Roger Ford in the magazine Modern Railways and based on a DETR survey.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. (5.9e-09 = 1 in 169,492,000 chance)
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. 1992-2005 IRTAD/INED
- ↑ 13.0 13.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
