Roy Amara

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Roy Amara
Born Roy Charles Amara
(1925-04-07)7 April 1925
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Roy Charles Amara (born 7 April 1925[1] - 31 December 2007[2]), was a researcher, scientist and past president of the Institute for the Future, he has also worked at Stanford Research Institute. He held a BS in Management, an MS in the Arts and Sciences, and a Ph.D. in Systems Engineering.[3]

Amara's Law

He is possibly best known for the quotation, paraphrased by Robert X. Cringely, is sometimes known as Amara's Law:

We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run.[4]

Selected bibliography

Books

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Reports

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  • Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. Published in Conference proceedings 1978 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC 1978). Pdf.
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References

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External links

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