United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2016
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November 8, 2016 |
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Pennsylvania, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in numerous other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on April 26.
Incumbent Republican Senator Pat Toomey is running for re-election to a second term in office.
Background
Five-term Senator Arlen Specter, a moderate Republican, switched to the Democratic Party in April 2009, running for re-election in 2010 as such. He was defeated in the Democratic primary by U.S. Representative and former U.S. Navy three-star admiral Joe Sestak. After a close race, Sestak lost the general election to former U.S. Representative Pat Toomey by 51% to 49%, a margin of 80,229 votes out of almost 4 million cast.
After the Republicans took control of the Senate following the 2014 Senate elections, the election in Pennsylvania is seen by many as a top target for the Democrats, who hope to regain their majority.[1][2][3]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Did Not File
Endorsements
| Pat Toomey |
- Individuals
- Organizations
|
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Did Not File
Declined
- Bob Brady, U.S. Representative and Chairman of the Philadelphia Democratic City Committee (endorsed Katie McGinty)[21]
- Chris Carney, former U.S. Representative[22]
- Matt Cartwright, U.S. Representative (endorsed Joe Sestak)[23]
- Kathy Dahlkemper, Erie County Executive and former U.S. Representative (endorsed Katie McGinty)[24]
- Eugene DePasquale, Pennsylvania Auditor General (running for re-election)[25][26]
- Rich Fitzgerald, Allegheny County Executive (endorsed Katie McGinty)[24][27]
- David Hickton, United States Attorney for the Western District of Pennsylvania[28]
- Vincent Hughes, State Senator (endorsed Katie McGinty)[29][30][31]
- Kathleen Kane, Pennsylvania Attorney General[10][32][33][34]
- Rob McCord, former Pennsylvania Treasurer and candidate for Governor in 2014[35]
- Patrick Murphy, former U.S. Representative and candidate for Attorney General in 2012[21][36]
- Michael Nutter, Mayor of Philadelphia (endorsed Katie McGinty)[37][38]
- Ed Rendell, former Governor of Pennsylvania (endorsed Katie McGinty)[39][40]
- Allyson Schwartz, former U.S. Representative and candidate for Governor in 2014[23]
- Josh Shapiro, Chairman of the Montgomery County Board of Commissioners and former State Representative (running for PA Attorney General)[41][42][43]
- Joe Torsella, United States Representative to the United Nations for Management and Reform and former Chairman of the Pennsylvania State Board of Education (running for state treasurer)[44][45]
- R. Seth Williams, District Attorney of Philadelphia[24]
Endorsements
| John Fetterman |
- Individuals
- Organizations
- Newspapers
|
| Katie McGinty |
- Presidents
- Vice Presidents
- U.S. Senators
- Bob Casey, Jr., United States Senator from Pennsylvania[51]
- Dianne Feinstein, United States Senator from California[52]
- Al Franken, United States Senator from Minnesota [53]
- Kirsten Gillibrand, United States Senator from New York[54]
- Martin Heinrich, United States Senator from New Mexico[55]
- Mazie Hirono, United States Senator from Hawaii[56]
- Patrick Leahy, United States Senator from Vermont[57]
- Jeff Merkley, United States Senator from Oregon[58]
- Claire McCaskill, United States Senator from Missouri[59]
- Chris Murphy, United States Senator from Connecticut[60]
- Patty Murray, United States Senator from Washington[61]
- Gary Peters, United States Senator from Michigan[62]
- Harry Reid, United States Senator from Nevada and Democratic Leader of the United States Senate[63]
- Brian Schatz, United States Senator from Hawaii[64]
- Jeanne Shaheen, United States Senator from New Hampshire[65]
- Jon Tester, United States Senator from Montana[66]
- Mark Warner United States Senator from Virginia[67]
- Sheldon Whitehouse, United States Senator from Rhode Island[68]
- Governors
- U.S. Representatives
- State legislators
- Ryan Bizzarro, State Representative[72]
- Jim Brewster, State Senator[73]
- Dom Costa, State Representative[73]
- Jay Costa, State Senator and Democratic Leader of the Pennsylvania Senate[73]
- Paul Costa, State Representative[73]
- Dan Deasy, State Representative[73]
- Anthony M. DeLuca, State Representative[73]
- Frank Dermody, State Representative and Democratic Leader of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives[73]
- Florindo Fabrizio. State Representative[72]
- Wayne D. Fontana, State Senator[73]
- Dan Frankel, State Representative[73]
- Ed Gainey, State Representative[73]
- Mark Gergely, State Representative[73]
- Patrick Harkins, State Representative[72]
- Vincent Hughes, State Senator[74]
- Bill Kortz, State Representative[73]
- Joe Markosek, State Representative[73]
- Mayors and other municipal leaders
- Cindy Bass, Philadelphia City Councilwoman[75]
- Jannie Blackwell, Philadelphia City Councilwoman[75]
- Kim Bracey, Mayor of York[76]
- Alan Butkovitz, Philadelphia City Controller[38]
- Darrell Clarke, Philadelphia City Council President[38]
- Carolyn Comitta, Mayor of West Chester[76]
- William Courtright, Mayor of Scranton[76]
- Kathy Dahlkemper, Erie County Executive and former U.S. Representative[72]
- John DeFazio, Allegheny County Councilman[73]
- Bob Donchez, Mayor of Bethlehem[76]
- Mike Finnerty, Allegheny County Councilman[73]
- Rich Fitzgerald, Allegheny County Executive[73]
- Nick Futules, Allegheny County Councilman[73]
- Dan Gilman, Pittsburgh City Councilman[73]
- Elizabeth Goreham, Mayor of State College[76]
- Rick Gray, Mayor of Lancaster[76]
- Sandra Green, Mayor of Kutztown[76]
- William Greenlee, Philadelphia City Councilman At-Large[75]
- Bobby Henon, Philadelphia City Councilman[75]
- Frank Janakovic, Mayor of Johnstown[76]
- Curtis Jones, Jr., Philadelphia City Councilman[75]
- Theresa Kail-Smith, Pittsburgh City Councilwoman[73]
- Bruce Kraus, Pittsburgh City Council President[73]
- Daniel Lavelle, Pittsburgh City Councilman[73]
- Thomas Leighton, Mayor of Wilkes-Barre[76]
- Bob Macey, Allegheny County Councilman[73]
- Chuck Martoni, Allegheny County Councilman[73]
- Josh Maxwell, Mayor of Downingtown[76]
- James Muldowney, Mayor of Pottsville[76]
- Michael Nutter, Mayor of Philadelphia[38]
- Corey O'Connor, Pittsburgh City Councilman[73]
- John F. Palmiere, Allegheny County Councilman[73]
- Sal Panto Jr., Mayor of Easton[76]
- Bill Peduto, Mayor of Pittsburgh[71]
- Blondell Reynolds Brown, Philadelphia City Councilwoman At-Large[75]
- Natalia Rudiak, Pittsburgh City Councilwoman[73]
- Mark Squilla, Philadelphia City Councilman[75]
- Individuals
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- Newspapers
|
| Joe Sestak |
- Individuals
- Organizations
- Newspapers
|
Debates
A debate hosted by Carnegie Mellon University's Heinz College in association with the 14th Ward Independent Democratic Club featuring John Fetterman, Katie McGinty, and Joe Sestak occurred on January 31 at Rangos Hall in Jared L. Cohon University Center, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA.
A debate hosted by Keystone Progress featuring John Fetterman, Katie McGinty, and Joe Sestak occurred on February 19 at the Hilton Harrisburg, in the Harrisburg Ballroom, Harrisburg, PA.
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Joe
Vodvarka |
John
Fetterman |
Katie
McGinty |
Joe
Sestak |
Other |
Undecided |
| Fox 29/Opinion Savvy |
April 24–25, 2016 |
942 |
± 3.2% |
– |
14% |
39% |
34% |
– |
13% |
| Harper Polling |
April 21–23, 2016 |
641 |
± 3.9% |
3% |
15% |
39% |
33% |
– |
11% |
| Monmouth University |
April 17–19, 2016 |
302 |
± 5.6% |
– |
4% |
39% |
39% |
– |
18% |
| Franklin & Marshall College |
April 11–18, 2016 |
510 |
± 5.3% |
– |
8% |
27% |
38% |
2% |
25% |
| Harper Polling |
April 3–4, 2016 |
603 |
± 4.0% |
– |
9% |
31% |
41% |
– |
19% |
| Franklin & Marshall College |
March 14–20, 2016 |
408 |
± 4.7% |
– |
7% |
14% |
31% |
2% |
46% |
| Harper Polling |
March 1–2, 2016 |
662 |
± 3.6% |
4% |
15% |
17% |
33% |
– |
35% |
| Harper Polling |
January 22–23, 2016 |
640 |
± 3.8% |
– |
11% |
28% |
33% |
– |
28% |
| Public Policy Polling |
October 8–11, 2015 |
1,012 |
± 3.1% |
– |
14% |
22% |
29% |
– |
35% |
| Franklin & Marshall College |
August 17–24, 2015 |
298 |
± ? |
– |
– |
13% |
16% |
5% |
66% |
|
Hypothetical polling
|
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Ed
Pawlowski |
Joe
Sestak |
Josh
Shapiro |
Other |
Undecided |
| Robert Morris University |
May 8–16, 2015 |
? |
± ? |
11.1% |
44.7% |
— |
— |
44.3% |
| Harper Polling |
May 6–7, 2015 |
173 |
± 7.45% |
12% |
42% |
8% |
— |
39% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Kathleen
Kane |
Joe
Sestak |
Other |
Undecided |
| Harper Polling |
February 22–23, 2014 |
501 |
± 4.38% |
47% |
24% |
— |
29% |
|
Results
2016 United States Senate Democratic primary in Pennsylvania results
McGinty — 50–60%
McGinty — 40–50%
McGinty — <40%
Sestak — <40%
Sestak — 40–50%
Sestak — 60–70%
Fetterman — 40–50%
General election
Candidates
Predictions
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Pat
Toomey (R) |
Katie
McGinty (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
| Quinnipiac University |
April 27–May 8, 2016 |
1,077 |
± 3.0% |
45% |
44% |
— |
11% |
| Quinnipiac University |
March 30–April 4, 2016 |
1,737 |
± 2.4% |
47% |
38% |
1% |
12% |
| Mercyhurst University |
March 1–11, 2016 |
421 |
± 4.8% |
47% |
34% |
2% |
13% |
| Harper Polling |
March 1–2, 2016 |
662 |
± 3.75% |
47% |
39% |
— |
13% |
| Public Policy Polling |
October 8–11, 2015 |
1,012 |
± -3.1 |
43% |
36% |
— |
21% |
| Quinnipiac University |
September 25–October 5, 2015 |
1,049 |
± 3.0% |
51% |
31% |
1% |
15% |
| Harper Polling |
September 9–10, 2015 |
700 |
± 3.7% |
48% |
34% |
— |
18% |
| Franklin & Marshall College |
August 17–24, 2015 |
605 |
± 3.9% |
35% |
28% |
— |
38% |
| Quinnipiac University |
August 7–18, 2015 |
1,085 |
± 3% |
48% |
32% |
1% |
17% |
| Public Policy Polling |
May 30–June 1, 2014 |
835 |
± 3.4% |
42% |
38% |
— |
20% |
|
Hypothetical polling
|
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Pat
Toomey (R) |
John
Fetterman (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
| Mercyhurst University |
March 1–11, 2016 |
421 |
± 4.8% |
49% |
31% |
2% |
15% |
| Harper Polling |
March 1–2, 2016 |
662 |
± 3.75% |
47% |
36% |
— |
16% |
| Public Policy Polling |
October 8–11, 2015 |
1,012 |
± -3.1 |
41% |
34% |
— |
24% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Pat
Toomey (R) |
Joe
Sestak (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
| Quinnipiac University |
March 30–April 4, 2016 |
1,737 |
± 2.4% |
47% |
39% |
1% |
10% |
| Mercyhurst University |
March 1–11, 2016 |
421 |
± 4.8% |
43% |
38% |
1% |
15% |
| Harper Polling |
March 1–2, 2016 |
662 |
± 3.75% |
47% |
41% |
— |
13% |
| Public Policy Polling |
October 8–11, 2015 |
1,012 |
± -3.1 |
41% |
38% |
— |
21% |
| Quinnipiac University |
September 25-October 5, 2015 |
1,049 |
± 3.0% |
49% |
34% |
1% |
13% |
| Harper Polling |
September 9–10, 2015 |
700 |
± 3.7% |
47% |
37% |
— |
15% |
| Franklin & Marshall College |
August 17–24, 2015 |
605 |
± 3.9% |
41% |
29% |
— |
31% |
| Quinnipiac University |
August 7–18, 2015 |
1,085 |
± 3% |
48% |
33% |
1% |
15% |
| Quinnipiac University |
June 4–15, 2015 |
970 |
± 3.2% |
47% |
36% |
1% |
16% |
| Franklin & Marshall College |
June 8–14, 2015 |
556 |
± 4.1% |
35% |
31% |
— |
34% |
| Public Policy Polling |
May 21–24, 2015 |
799 |
± 3.5% |
42% |
38% |
— |
20% |
| Robert Morris University |
May 8–16, 2015 |
529 |
± 4.5% |
28.5% |
34.2% |
— |
37.3% |
| Harper Polling |
May 6–7, 2015 |
503 |
± 4.37% |
53% |
32% |
— |
15% |
| Quinnipiac University |
March 17–28, 2015 |
1,036 |
± 3% |
48% |
35% |
1% |
16% |
| Franklin & Marshall College |
March 17–23, 2015 |
597 |
± 4.2% |
34% |
29% |
— |
37% |
| Quinnipiac University |
Jan. 22–Feb. 1, 2015 |
881 |
± 3.3% |
45% |
35% |
— |
20% |
| Public Policy Polling |
January 15–18, 2015 |
1,042 |
± 3% |
40% |
36% |
— |
23% |
| Public Policy Polling |
May 30 – June 1, 2014 |
835 |
± 3.4% |
41% |
35% |
— |
24% |
| Harper Polling |
December 21–22, 2013 |
604 |
± 4% |
49% |
42% |
— |
9% |
| Public Policy Polling |
November 22–25, 2013 |
693 |
± 3.7% |
42% |
42% |
— |
16% |
| Quinnipiac University |
May 30 – June 4, 2013 |
1,032 |
± 3.1% |
42% |
37% |
1% |
21% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Pat
Toomey (R) |
Chris
Carney (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling |
May 21–24, 2015 |
799 |
± 3.5% |
44% |
35% |
— |
20% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Pat
Toomey (R) |
Vincent
Hughes (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling |
May 21–24, 2015 |
799 |
± 3.5% |
44% |
35% |
— |
21% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Pat
Toomey (R) |
Chris
Matthews (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling |
January 15–18, 2015 |
1,042 |
± 3% |
42% |
38% |
— |
20% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Pat
Toomey (R) |
Michael
Nutter (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling |
January 15–18, 2015 |
1,042 |
± 3% |
42% |
35% |
— |
23% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Pat
Toomey (R) |
Ed
Rendell (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling |
May 21–24, 2015 |
799 |
± 3.5% |
46% |
41% |
— |
13% |
| Public Policy Polling |
January 15–18, 2015 |
1,042 |
± 3% |
41% |
44% |
— |
15% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Pat
Toomey (R) |
Josh
Shapiro (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
| Harper Polling |
May 6–7, 2015 |
503 |
± 4.37% |
55% |
27% |
— |
18% |
| Public Policy Polling |
January 15–18, 2015 |
1,042 |
± 3% |
43% |
31% |
— |
26% |
| Public Policy Polling |
May 30 – June 1, 2014 |
835 |
± 3.4% |
41% |
32% |
— |
28% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Pat
Toomey (R) |
Seth
Williams (D) |
Other |
Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling |
May 21–24, 2015 |
799 |
± 3.5% |
44% |
33% |
— |
23% |
|
See also
References
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External links
- Official campaign websites
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- ↑ https://twitter.com/carlyfiorina/status/720283898769313798
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- ↑ http://katiemcginty.com/senator-vincent-hughes-endorsment/
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- ↑ 49.0 49.1 49.2 49.3 Who’s supporting who? The Pa. endorsements you need to know about before Tuesday
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- ↑ http://www.politicspa.com/pa-sen-q1-digging-into-sestak-mcginty-financial-reports/74671/
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- ↑ http://www.politicspa.com/pa-sen-q1-digging-into-sestak-mcginty-financial-reports/74671/
- ↑ http://www.politicspa.com/pa-sen-q1-digging-into-sestak-mcginty-financial-reports/74671/
- ↑ http://www.politicspa.com/pa-sen-q1-digging-into-sestak-mcginty-financial-reports/74671/
- ↑ http://www.politicspa.com/pa-sen-q1-digging-into-sestak-mcginty-financial-reports/74671/
- ↑ http://www.politicspa.com/pa-sen-q1-digging-into-sestak-mcginty-financial-reports/74671/
- ↑ http://www.politicspa.com/pa-sen-q1-digging-into-sestak-mcginty-financial-reports/74671/
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- ↑ http://www.politicspa.com/pa-sen-q1-digging-into-sestak-mcginty-financial-reports/74671/
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- ↑ http://www.politicspa.com/pa-sen-q1-digging-into-sestak-mcginty-financial-reports/74671/
- ↑ http://www.politicspa.com/pa-sen-q1-digging-into-sestak-mcginty-financial-reports/74671/
- ↑ http://www.politicspa.com/pa-sen-q1-digging-into-sestak-mcginty-financial-reports/74671/
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- ↑ http://katiemcginty.com/senator-vincent-hughes-endorsment/
- ↑ 75.0 75.1 75.2 75.3 75.4 75.5 75.6 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 76.00 76.01 76.02 76.03 76.04 76.05 76.06 76.07 76.08 76.09 76.10 76.11 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 77.0 77.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ http://www.huffingtonpost.com/laura-goldman/emilys-list-founder-swipe_b_9732038.html
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ http://katiemcginty.com/pennsylvania-afl-cio-endorses-mcginty/
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 85.0 85.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ http://katiemcginty.com/philadelphia-democratic-city-committee-endorsement/
- ↑ https://twitter.com/StonewallPGH/status/719251513718267904
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ http://katiemcginty.com/times-leader-new-pittsburgh-courier-endorse-mcginty-u-s-senate/
- ↑ http://katiemcginty.com/times-leader-new-pittsburgh-courier-endorse-mcginty-u-s-senate/
- ↑ http://www.philly.com/philly/opinion/20160420_DN_Editorial__McGinty_for_Senate__Zappala_for_AG__Evans_for_Congress.html
- ↑ http://katiemcginty.com/times-leader-new-pittsburgh-courier-endorse-mcginty-u-s-senate/
- ↑ http://katiemcginty.com/times-leader-new-pittsburgh-courier-endorse-mcginty-u-s-senate/
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Template:City web
- ↑ Template:City web
- ↑ 2016 Presidential Primary
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
