2020 United States Senate election in Wyoming
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The 2020 United States Senate election in Wyoming will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Wyoming, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Mike Enzi is not running for reelection. The Democratic and Republican party primary election was held on August 18, 2020.[1] As both major parties have nominated a woman, the winner will become the first female U.S. Senator from the state of Wyoming.
Contents
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Cynthia Lummis, former U.S. Representative for Wyoming's at-large congressional district and former Treasurer of Wyoming[2][3]
Eliminated in primary
- Robert Short, Converse County commissioner and businessman[4]
- R. Mark Armstrong, geologist[3][5]
- Devon Cade, businessman[6]
- John Holtz, attorney and U.S. Air Force veteran[7]
- Michael Kemler[3]
- Bryan Miller, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014[3][8]
- Donna Rice, estate lawyer[9]
- Star Roselli, conspiracy theorist[10]
- Joshua Wheeler, Wyoming Army National Guard veteran[11]
Withdrawn
Declined
- Liz Cheney, incumbent U.S. Representative for Wyoming's at-large congressional district, Chair of House Republican Conference, and daughter of former Vice President Dick Cheney (running for re-election)[15]
- Mike Enzi, incumbent U.S. Senator[16] (endorsed Cynthia Lummis)[17]
- Foster Friess, businessman and former governor candidate[18]
- Robert Grady, policy adviser to former President George H.W. Bush[19]
- Matt Mead, former Governor of Wyoming[20]
- Marian Orr, mayor of Cheyenne (running for re-election)[21]
Endorsements
Cynthia Lummis |
---|
|
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Mark Armstrong |
Jillian Ballow |
Liz Cheney |
Foster Friess |
Cynthia Lummis |
Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cheney announces she will not run | ||||||||||||
The Tarrance Group (R)[1][upper-alpha 1] | June 22–24, 2019 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.5% | – | – | 56% | – | 34% | – |
Results
Republican primary results[26] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Cynthia Lummis | 63,511 | 59.67% | |
Republican | Robert Short | 13,473 | 12.66% | |
Republican | Bryan Miller | 10,946 | 10.28% | |
Republican | Donna Rice | 5,881 | 5.53% | |
Republican | R. Mark Armstrong | 3,904 | 3.67% | |
Republican | Joshua Wheeler | 3,763 | 3.53% | |
Republican | John Holtz | 1,820 | 1.71% | |
Republican | Devon Cade | 1,027 | 0.96% | |
Republican | Michael Kemler | 985 | 0.93% | |
Republican | Star Roselli | 627 | 0.59% | |
Republican | Write-ins | 501 | 0.47% | |
Total votes | 106,438 | 100.0% |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Merav Ben-David, Chair of the Department of Zoology and Physiology at the University of Wyoming and wildlife ecologist[3][27][28]
Eliminated in primary
- Kenneth R. Casner, Democratic candidate for the 2018 Wyoming gubernatorial election and Democratic nominee for District 47 of the Wyoming House of Representatives in 2016[3]
- James DeBrine, progressive activist[3]
- Yana Ludwig, democratic socialist activist and community organizer[3][29]
- Nathan Wendt, think tank executive, management consultant, businessman, entrepreneur[3]
- Rex Wilde, veteran, service technician, Democratic candidate for the 2018 Wyoming gubernatorial election and Democratic candidate for the 2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming[3]
Withdrawn
Endorsements
Merav Ben-David |
---|
|
Nathan Wendt |
---|
|
Yana Ludwig |
---|
|
Results
Democratic primary results[26] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Merav Ben-David | 9,584 | 40.28% | |
Democratic | Yana Ludwig | 4,931 | 20.73% | |
Democratic | Nathan Wendt | 4,212 | 17.70% | |
Democratic | Kenneth Casner | 2,139 | 8.99% | |
Democratic | Rex Wilde | 1,888 | 7.93% | |
Democratic | James DeBrine | 865 | 3.64% | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 173 | 0.73% | |
Total votes | 23,792 | 100.0% |
Merav Ben-David |
Yana Ludwig |
Nathan Wendt |
Kenneth Casner |
Rex Wilde |
James DeBrine |
Total | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
Albany | 1,867 | 56.07% | 809 | 24.29% | 314 | 9.43% | 187 | 5.62% | 84 | 2.52% | 69 | 2.07% | 3,330 |
Big Horn | 84 | 38.71% | 49 | 22.58% | 42 | 19.35% | 18 | 8.29% | 17 | 7.83% | 7 | 3.23% | 217 |
Campbell | 144 | 31.51% | 114 | 24.95% | 105 | 22.98% | 37 | 8.10% | 35 | 7.66% | 22 | 4.81% | 457 |
Carbon | 199 | 32.36% | 110 | 17.89% | 86 | 13.98% | 138 | 22.44% | 43 | 6.99% | 39 | 6.34% | 615 |
Converse | 78 | 32.37% | 53 | 21.99% | 38 | 15.77% | 36 | 14.94% | 19 | 7.88% | 17 | 7.05% | 241 |
Crook | 43 | 39.45% | 22 | 20.18% | 19 | 17.43% | 11 | 10.09% | 7 | 6.42% | 7 | 6.42% | 109 |
Fremont | 831 | 42.81% | 424 | 21.84% | 296 | 15.25% | 155 | 7.99% | 145 | 7.47% | 90 | 4.64% | 1,941 |
Goshen | 148 | 36.63% | 109 | 26.98% | 66 | 16.34% | 37 | 9.16% | 27 | 6.68% | 17 | 4.21% | 404 |
Hot Springs | 81 | 52.26% | 27 | 17.42% | 13 | 8.39% | 11 | 7.10% | 17 | 10.97% | 6 | 3.87% | 155 |
Johnson | 99 | 51.03% | 32 | 16.49% | 36 | 18.56% | 15 | 7.73% | 7 | 3.61% | 5 | 2.58% | 194 |
Laramie | 1,808 | 36.02% | 942 | 18.76% | 800 | 15.94% | 712 | 14.18% | 556 | 11.08% | 202 | 4.02% | 5,020 |
Lincoln | 146 | 37.73% | 75 | 19.38% | 83 | 21.45% | 27 | 6.98% | 47 | 12.14% | 9 | 2.33% | 387 |
Natrona | 933 | 38.68% | 527 | 21.85% | 436 | 18.08% | 278 | 11.53% | 142 | 5.89% | 96 | 3.98% | 2,412 |
Niobrara | 19 | 48.72% | 9 | 23.08% | 4 | 10.26% | 2 | 5.13% | 4 | 10.26% | 1 | 2.56% | 39 |
Park | 313 | 43.53% | 158 | 21.97% | 117 | 16.27% | 47 | 6.54% | 61 | 8.48% | 23 | 3.20% | 719 |
Platte | 142 | 36.79% | 54 | 13.99% | 72 | 18.65% | 43 | 11.14% | 41 | 10.62% | 34 | 8.81% | 386 |
Sheridan | 545 | 45.45% | 244 | 20.35% | 213 | 17.76% | 84 | 7.01% | 66 | 5.50% | 47 | 3.92% | 1,199 |
Sublette | 104 | 59.09% | 25 | 14.20% | 27 | 15.34% | 8 | 4.55% | 11 | 6.25% | 1 | 0.57% | 176 |
Sweetwater | 638 | 30.40% | 392 | 18.68% | 439 | 20.91% | 162 | 7.72% | 371 | 17.68% | 97 | 4.62% | 2,099 |
Teton | 1,063 | 39.52% | 557 | 20.71% | 889 | 33.05% | 67 | 2.49% | 79 | 2.94% | 35 | 1.30% | 2,690 |
Uinta | 198 | 37.57% | 129 | 24.48% | 71 | 13.47% | 39 | 7.40% | 69 | 13.09% | 21 | 3.98% | 527 |
Washakie | 65 | 33.68% | 42 | 21.76% | 36 | 18.65% | 19 | 9.84% | 20 | 10.36% | 11 | 5.70% | 193 |
Weston | 37 | 35.92% | 25 | 24.27% | 11 | 10.68% | 7 | 6.80% | 14 | 13.59% | 9 | 8.74% | 103 |
Total | 9,585 | 40.59% | 4,928 | 20.87% | 4,213 | 17.84% | 2,140 | 9.06% | 1,882 | 7.97% | 865 | 3.66% | 23,613 |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[36] | Safe R | August 17, 2020 |
Inside Elections[37] | Safe R | September 18, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[38] | Safe R | August 5, 2020 |
Daily Kos[39] | Safe R | August 31, 2020 |
Politico[40] | Safe R | September 9, 2020 |
RCP[41] | Safe R | September 17, 2020 |
Niskanen[42] | Safe R | September 15, 2020 |
DDHQ[43] | Safe R | September 16, 2020 |
538[44] | Safe R | September 18, 2020 |
Endorsements
Cynthia Lummis (R) |
---|
|
Merav Ben-David (D) |
---|
|
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Cynthia Lummis | {{{change}}} | |||
Democratic | Merav Ben-David | {{{change}}} | |||
Total votes | 100.0% |
Notes
- Partisan clients
- Voter samples and additional candidates
- ↑ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
References
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- ↑ 31.0 31.1 31.2 31.3 31.4 31.5 31.6 31.7 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 32.0 32.1 https://www.wendtforwyoming.com/endorsements
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- ↑ https://www.lummisforwyoming.com/endorsements/
- ↑ https://www.lummisforwyoming.com/endorsements/
- ↑ https://www.lummisforwyoming.com/endorsements/
- ↑ https://www.lummisforwyoming.com/endorsements/
- ↑ https://www.lummisforwyoming.com/endorsements/
- ↑ https://www.lummisforwyoming.com/endorsements/
- ↑ https://www.timesofisrael.com/israel-born-ecology-professor-wins-wyoming-democratic-senate-primary/
- ↑ https://foeaction.org/candidate-endorsements/
External links
- Official campaign websites