2020 United States presidential election in New Mexico

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Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in New Mexico
← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout %
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg 160x160px 160x160px
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden Jo Jorgensen
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Home state Florida Delaware South Carolina
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris Spike Cohen
Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican


Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2020 United States presidential election in New Mexico is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] New Mexico voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Mexico has 5 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

By the time that the primary elections were held in the state on June 2, 2020, incumbent President Donald Trump was already the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, being the only viable declared major candidate left. On the Democratic Party's side, Vice President Joe Biden became the presumptive nominee after Senator Bernie Sanders, his last competitor, withdrew on April 8, 2020. And the Libertarian Party, which received over 9% of the vote in 2016, already held its 2020 Libertarian National Convention from May 21 to May 25, nominating Jo Jorgensen.

Primary elections

The primary elections were held on June 2, 2020.

Republican primary

Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary, and thus received all of the state's 22 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[3]

2020 New Mexico Republican presidential primary
Candidate Votes  % Estimated
delegates
Donald Trump 144,067 91.25 22
Uncommitted 13,809 8.75 0
Total 157,876 100% 22

Democratic primary

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Libertarian nominee

The 2020 Libertarian National Convention was held on May 22–24, 2020, selecting Jo Jorgensen, Psychology Senior Lecturer at Clemson University, as their presidential nominee.

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[4] Safe D September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[5] Safe D September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe D July 14, 2020
Politico[7] Safe D September 8, 2020
RCP[8] Likely D August 3, 2020
Niskanen[9] Likely D July 26, 2020
CNN[10] Lean D August 3, 2020
The Economist[11] Likely D September 2, 2020
CBS News[12] Likely D August 16, 2020
270towin[13] Likely D August 2, 2020
ABC News[14] Safe D July 31, 2020
NPR[15] Lean D August 3, 2020
NBC News[16] Likely D August 6, 2020
538[17] Likely D September 9, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

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Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Donald Trump Other/Undecided [lower-alpha 1] Margin
Real Clear Politics Jun 12 – Sep 2, 2020 Sept 7, 2020 53.5% 39.0% 7.5% Biden +14.5
FiveThirtyEight until Sep 2, 2020 Sept 12, 2020 54.1% 41.1% 4.8% Biden +13.0

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Joe
Biden (D)		 Undecided
Research & Polling Inc./Albuquerque Journal Aug 26 – Sep 2, 2020 1,123 (LV) ± 2.9% 39% 54% –
Public Policy Polling/NM Political Report Jun 12–13, 2020 740 (V) ± 3.6% 39% 53% 8%
Public Policy Polling/The Majority Institute[upper-alpha 1] Apr 20–21, 2020 1,091 (RV) ± 3.1% 40% 52% –
Emerson College Jan 3–6, 2020 967 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 54% –
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Emerson College Jan 3–6, 2020 967 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 55%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Bernie
Sanders (D)
Emerson College Jan 3–6, 2020 967 (RV) ± 3.1% 41% 59%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump (R)		 Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Emerson College Jan 3–6, 2020 967 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 54%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in New Mexico[18]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump and Mike Pence
Democratic Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
Green Howie Hawkins and Angela Walker
Constitution Sheila "Samm" Tittle[lower-alpha 2] and David Sandige
Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva and Sunil Freeman
Total votes

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ↑ The national Constitution Party nominated Don Blankenship for President with William Mohr as his running mate, but the New Mexico state party chose Tittle and Sandige.
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ This poll was sponsored by the Majority Institute, a communications firm which supports the Democratic Party

References

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  9. ↑ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
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